Professor Efraim Inbar
President of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security.Email: email@example.com
Professor Inbar was the founding director of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, a position he held for 23 years (1993-2016), and a professor of political studies at Bar-Ilan University. He has been a visiting professor at Georgetown, Johns Hopkins and Boston universities; a visiting scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars; a Manfred Warner NATO Fellow; and a visiting fellow at the (London-based) International Institute for Strategic Studies. He was president of the Israel Association of International Studies; a member of the Political Strategic Committee of the National Planning Council; chairman of the National Security Curriculum committee in the Ministry of Education; and a member of the Academic Committee of the IDF History Department. He has authored five books: Outcast Countries in the World Community (1985), War and Peace in Israeli Politics. Labor Party Positions on National Security (1991), Rabin and Israel’s National Security (1999), The Israeli-Turkish Entente (2001), and Israel’s National Security: Issues and Challenges since the Yom Kippur War (2008), and edited fourteen collections of scholarly articles. He is an expert on Israeli strategic doctrine, public opinion on national security issues, US Middle East policy, Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy, and Israel-Turkey relations.
Inbar holds a M.A and a Ph.D. from the University of Chicago, after finishing undergraduate studies in Political Science and English Literature at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.
President of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security.
Iran and Israel: The Inevitable War?
Iran-Israel relations are essentially a zero-sum game, leaving Israel little choice but to act upon its existential instincts. Therefore, escalation in the use of force to reverse Iranian ascendance in Middle East politics, to prevent its nuclearization, and to prevent the encirclement of Israel by Iranian proxies, is probable.
What Happens after the “Deal of the Century” is Tabled?
Whatever paradigm for peace is tabled by the Trump administration, no end to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is in sight. Managing the conflict for the long term – a somewhat fuzzy approach in need of constant reevaluation – is the only realistic way to do some good in the Israeli-Palestinian arena.
The Future of Israel Looks Good
Time is on Israel’s side. A review of the balance of power between Israel and its foes; of the domestic features molding Israel’s national power; and of Israel’s standing in the international community, validates the assessment that Israel has the dominant hand for the foreseeable future.
The Strategic Importance of Jerusalem
Israel’s control of Jerusalem provides strategic depth for the coastal plain; vitally links the coast to the Jordan River as Israel’s eastern security border; and ensures the city’s vibrancy. Maintaining a united Jerusalem is a national mission of existential significance.
Is it time for Biden to demonstrate force with Iran?
The withdrawal of American forces from the Middle East may have strategic merits. The rationale for a contracted global military seems to match what American strategists have termed “offshore balancing,” which means that the U.S. holds fewer overseas bases but maintains its military capability to intervene in distant regions when necessary.
From the Ocean to the Gulf: Normalization takes Hold
Morocco has maintained open channels with Israel for many years, and it values the unique Jewish contribution to its heritage. A new pattern of normalization with Israel now extends from the Atlantic to the Gulf. Morocco’s coordination with the US also is a vital part of the emerging alignment of forces of stability in the region. Israel now should give this breakthrough a firm grounding in policies beneficial to both peoples.
Israel’s Role in Helping the Biden Administration Set Policy Towards Iran
Israel should seek to persuade the Biden transition team not to offer Iran any premature concessions; it should outline what would constitute an acceptable, "stronger and longer" deal; find other international actors to support the policy suggested by Israel (possibly France and even Russia); and prepare a viable military option, both to strengthen America’s negotiating hand and as an option in the case of failure to reverse Iran's present course.
Security Considerations and National Unity Require Jordan Valley Sovereignty
The American peace plan provides a historic opportunity to break the futile paradigm based on the 1967 lines and ensure Israeli national security for the long term. In terms of security – protecting Israel, stabilizing Jordan, and preventing a terrorist takeover of a future Palestinian entity – and given the supreme importance of national cohesion, it is imperative to focus on the Jordan Valley and the Jerusalem envelope.
Phased Territorial Implementation of the Trump Peace Plan
The Trump Plan is the most realistic route for progress towards the goal of “two states for two peoples.” Therefore, the Israeli national unity government should embrace the Trump plan in its entirety, including negotiations towards establishment of a Palestinian state, and at the same time act (in the first stage) to apply Israeli law to the Jordan Valley and strategically significant areas in the Jerusalem envelope, such as Maaleh Adumim and Gush Etzion. An Israeli consensus exists regarding these areas.
Corona’s Impact on Israeli National Security
Israeli national security is unquestionably weakened by the corona pandemic. Many IDF units are suffering from a shortage of manpower. And the assertion that preoccupation with corona will temper the behavior of Israel's enemies is wishful and mistaken thinking.
Jordan will not impede the US peace plan
It is convenient for Amman to have Israel retain security control over the Jordan Valley. And this is a rare opportunity to advance and potentially realize Israel's security needs for a cemented border in the east with the support of the world's top superpower.
The Greatest Necessity: National Cohesion
Israel’s government must nurture a spirit of unity and national purpose by building a policy consensus as broad as possible. This is necessary both in preparation for likely combat operations against Iran and its proxies, and in order to respond wisely to the American peace plan and to intelligently manage conflict with the Palestinians.
Will Trump’s ‘deal of the century’ lead to change?
The guaranteed failure of the “deal of the century” is an opportunity for Israel to open the Americans’ eyes to the harsh and complicated reality in our region and lead them to support the strategy of managing the conflict and wait for better times.
The demand for sovereignty over Judea and Samaria is a waste of Zionist energy
The longing for Jewish sovereignty over the historic homeland of the Jewish people is understandable. Nevertheless, the recent attempt to pass a law declaring Israeli sovereignty over the settlements in Judea and Samaria is useless.
Netanyahu in India
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits India just half a year after the first historic trip of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Israel (July 2017). These visits reflect the significant expansion in relations between the two countries that has taken place since the establishment of full diplomatic relations in 1992.
Hamas Committing War Crimes By Hiding Behind Civilians: Israel Security Experts
Profs. Siboni and Inbar: Hamas commits international war crimes by striking Israel's civilian community centres and by using humans as a shield against counter-attack.
Gaza-Israel conflict shakes foundations of Middle East coexistence
Prof. Efraim Inbar: This unrest inside Israel comes at a time when, for the first time in the political history of Israel, an Arab party was ready to join a government coalition. But now this possibility is over.
Mideast experts: Leaked Zarif tape exposes Iran narrative of so-called ‘moderates,’ ‘hardliners’
Prof. Efraim Inbar: There is no distinction between moderates and hardliners. All of Iran’s leaders have the same goals of kicking the Americans out of the Middle East, taking it over and going for the bomb.
Instability in neighboring Jordan is ‘bad news’ for Israel
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Jordan serves as a friendly buffer on the east. The territories east of Jordan until the border of India are in the hands of rulers under Islamist influence.
For Israel, endless electoral discord carries perils for ties with Arab world
Prof. Efraim Inbar: There is no political stability, and the folks over the border don’t always understand our system… They don’t like instability.
US-Jordan defense pact good for Israel, stability in Mideast
Prof. Efraim Inbar: I doubt whether we will see a serious American military presence in Jordan, as the US still wants to disengage from the Middle East.
Will a US-Saudi rift affect Israel?
Inbar and Spyer: Biden’s push for human rights will backfire, especially if coupled with U.S. inaction regarding Iran and a return to the failed 2015 nuclear deal.
A Cold Egyptian-Israeli Peace Undermines Both Culture and Security
The old paradigm of scapegoating Israel undermines Egyptian national security interests. Prof. Efraim Inbar: Egyptian distrust of Israel is rooted in cultural and religious barriers.
The dangerous, disappearing Persians
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Escalation in the use of force to reverse Iranian ascendance in Middle East politics, to prevent its nuclearization, and to prevent the encirclement of Israel by Iranian proxies, is probable.
‘Erratic’ or ‘Strategic Clarity’: What to make of Trump’s Middle East legacy?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Trump and Kushner contributed to strategic clarity. The faulty JCPOA was dropped and diplomacy was used to bring the Gulf states, Sudan and Morocco closer to Israel.
Biden's Policies Toward Israel Starkly Different From Trump's, Experts Say
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Biden is a close friend of Israel. His presence in the White House is an opportunity to rehabilitate relations with the Democratic Party.
The Abraham Accords and beyond
Prof. Efraim Inbar: It would be a strategic nightmare if Turkey joins an axis with Russia, Iran and China. Only a Turkey linked to the West can refrain from going nuclear.
Can Biden move Qatar away from Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Qatar spends enormous amounts of money in systematic support for the nefarious activities of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt and its branches all over the world.
Mideast Arms Race: Is Israel’s Qualitative Military Edge Eroding?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Part of the price of peace is that the Arabs receive American weapons. It happened with Egypt and Jordan. It’s nothing new.
Israel’s Geopolitical Challenges in the Deadly Conflict Between Armenia, Azerbaijan
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Azerbaijan supplies much of Israel’s oil and it borders on Iran, and obviously Israel is interested in looking into Iran.
Could Lebanon’s first negotiations with Israel in decades lead to normalization?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The talks are a Lebanese development, relating to the economic and political crisis within Lebanon, and do not augur a broader peace relationship.
Progress, not peace: Breaking down the Trump-brokered deals between Israel, Arab states
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Unfortunately, the Palestinian liberation national movement still has dreams that are unlikely to be achieved.
EU welcomes normalisation of relations between Israel and Gulf States
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The Palestinians will have to adopt a more mature policy and understand that no side can realize all its dreams.
Will Israel strike Iran?
Prof. Inbar of JISS: The strike on Soleimani warns Iran that the option for expanded US use of force against Iran is on the table. General Amidror of JISS: Israel must navigate its path based on the assumption that it cannot... fundamentally change the situation in the Middle East, neither by political agreements nor by using military force.
The Dangers of Annexation
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The Palestinians are tired of the conflict and understand Israel's superior military power. Another intifada is not expected even if Israel applies its sovereignty to parts of the West Bank.
Experts: Israeli sovereignty not expected to cause massive violence or backlash
Prof. Inbar: The Palestinians are weak and dependent upon Israel, and will not be able to sustain their own state without Israel’s assistance.
Excluded from Netanyahu’s annexation plans, military must somehow prepare anyway
Prof. Inbar and Dr. Lerman of JISS: While Israeli security forces must prepare for a potential outbreak of violence, the response by Palestinians may not be as bad as others expect and would give Israel a clear upper hand in future negotiations.
How worried should Israel be about the Arab response to its extended sovereignty bid?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Palestinian opposition to an extension of Israeli law to the Jordan Valley is irrelevant. The lengthy negotiations with the Palestinians have led nowhere, and there is Israeli consensus that the Palestinian national movement is not ripe for accepting a historical compromise with the Jewish state.
Despite criticism from abroad, Israelis united over annexation
Israeli plans to annex the Jordan Valley and parts of the West Bank have drawn criticism from around the world, but most Israelis favor the goal.
New Israeli Gov’t Sworn Into Office, Ending 18-Month Political Saga
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Annexation can move forward as long as there is a willingness by the Israeli government to enter negotiations on the basis of President Trump’s Middle East peace plan, which calls for a simultaneous construction freeze in areas designated for a future Palestinian state.
Jordan Valley settlements were established by the Labor Movement,
and the late Yitzhak Rabin believed in them. Nearly all Israelis want
the Jordan Valley to remain part of the state, and we must not let this opportunity slip by.
China’s coronavirus cover-up and the implications for Israel
Prof. Inbar: Israel must be careful in allowing Chinese firms
linked to the government to control some Israeli infrastructure projects.
Coronavirus won’t turn the Middle East all warm and fuzzy.
Inbar and Lerman of JISS: Regardless of whether or not there is a pandemic, Israel still has extremely significant defense and strategic challenges.
For first time in history, US plan for Mideast peace puts Israeli concerns at forefront.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: I don’t see peace coming out of the plan, but in the long scheme of things, it is more realistic.
Plain Talk by Israel’s Top Soldier Seen as Filling Political Vacuum.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The main significance of Kochavi’s speech lay in the chief of staff’s willingness to candidly discuss policies previously left opaque.
'Palestinian Demand to Remove Israeli Settlements is Unacceptable and Racist' - Scholar.
Prof. Inbar: Israel has always advocated the positions that Jews have a right to settle anywhere in the land of Israel.
Does Israel need pacts with Persian Gulf that Katz is trying to secure?
Prof. Inbar: “This has to be gradual. The informal is at times stronger than the formal. We should deepen these ties without making this more difficult for Gulf countries.”
Evangelical Charity World Vision’s Terror-Funding Scandal Continues.
Prof. Inbar: We have the moral duty to demask organizations, such as World Vision, which are undermining Christian values, by spreading hatred and violence.
Is it time for the IDF to inflict ‘massive damage’ on Hamas?
Prof. Inbar: The IDF concept of using accurate intelligence for pinpoint airstrikes has proven deficient. A land incursion may be needed to convince Israel’s enemies that we are ready to pay a price in casualties in order to secure the well-being of our citizens.
New Palestinian government beleaguered by ‘corruption, nepotism and ineptitude’
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The PA continues to subscribe to maximalist unrealistic positions that ensure the continuation of conflict between the two national movements.
Of annexation and Trump’s peace plan, what’s next on the post-Israeli election agenda?
Prof. Inbar: Annexation of the West Bank or parts of the West Bank has been on the agenda of every Israeli government, including Labor-led governments because want the settlement blocs as part of Israel.
Does Hamas see Israel’s deterrence waning?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Deterrence is a tricky notion. Dr. Eran Lerman: Hamas is irritating us in order to obtain certain limited gains through the negotiating process.
What’s in a “Wall”? In Israel, a mix of structures, technology, policy, and cross-border cooperation.
Prof. Inbar: What’s important are actions beyond the fence, combined with intelligence gathering.
'Israel will continue to react to military entrenchment by Iran'
Israel has carried out airstrikes on Iranian targets in the vicinity of the Syrian capital Damascus. The Israeli Defense Forces have confirmed the military operation in an tweet earlier this morning. Radio Sputnik discussed the development with Efraim Inbar, president of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategic Studies.
Is the time ripe for Israel to push for recognition of the Golan Heights?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: I am not sure we should spend much political capital on this issue. After all, the Golan is in our hands since ’67, more years than the Syrians ruled the area. Who can change this strategically important fact?
Bricks In The 'Wall': Israel as a Test-Case for President Trump's Proposed Border Measures.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The West Bank security fence is not a fool-proof system, but what's important are Israeli actions beyond the fence combined with intelligence gathering to thwart terrorism and other threats.
The IDF under newly appointed chief of staff.
Prof. Efraim Inbar comments on the most urgent tasks facing the incoming chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces, Major General Aviv Kochavi.
Is the situation with Gaza ‘the problem from hell?’
Prof. Efraim Inbar: We cannot trust Hamas to keep the calm. Only when Hamas is afraid of IDF retaliation, which has yet to come, will calm prevail. General Amidror: A war in Gaza will only benefit PA leader Mahmoud Abbas and Iran. And we don’t want to give Iran any gifts.
Trump’s wavering on one-state or two-states leaves many in a state of confusion.
Middle East analysts say there is growing skepticism around the world of the Palestinians’ ability even to create and sustain an independent state. Prof. Efraim Inbar: Sometimes ambiguity serves us better than a clear solution.”
Palestinian-Israeli fragile co-existence to remain intact despite shooting attack in West Bank.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Good economic conditions do not always overcome the deep hostility of part of the Palestinian population.
Professor Efraim Inbar, speaks to KAN's Naomi Segal about what to expect from Tuesday's meeting in Singapore between US President Donald Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un.
'Nakba Day': To Create Better Future, Palestinians Must Overcome the Past
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The Palestinians need to decide internally whether they are willing to overcome their divisions and problems or be doomed to a chaotic situation. So long as they continue to fan the flames of hatred against Israel and are unprepared to change, they will be unable to create a state.
EXPERT: IRAN LIKELY TO CONTINUE NUCLEAR PROGRAM WHEN NUCLEAR DEAL EXPIRES
Prof. Efraim Inbar: It was quite clear that the Americans were not surprised by the speech by Prime Minister Netanyahu, and they knew about it in advance.
Capital punishment? Nearly half of Jerusalem's residents aren't citizens.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Giving citizenship to Arab east Jerusalemites is not only fair but also good for Israel on the strategic level.
Plot Thickens For Israel In Syria As Russia Outs Military Operation.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: When it comes to our national security we are entitled to do what is necessary to uphold it
The Media Line, April 9, 2018
A hard look at the Israeli admission of 2007 attack on a Syrian nuclear reactor, and its message for Iran.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Striking Iranian facilities would be much more difficult.
World Israel News 22.03.2018
How Palestinian votes in municipal elections may change the face of Jerusalem.
Dr. David Koren: Perhaps some Palestinians believe voting will bear more fruit than sticking with the Palestinian Authority. Prof. Efraim Inbar: If Arabs vote in greater numbers, the most pressing challenge will be to bring Zionists to the city to ensure its character.