Lt. Colonel (res.) Daniel Rakov
Expert on RussiaEmail: email@example.com
Daniel Rakov is an expert on Russian policy in the Middle East and great-power competition in the region. He had served in the IDF for more than 20 years, mainly in the Israeli Defense Intelligence (Aman). In 2019-2021 he was a research fellow at the Russian Studies Program in the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS).
Russia’s Power Image After Prigozhin’s Uprising
The Kremlin quickly suppressed the mutiny of Yevgeny Prigozhin, which might prove of great importance for the stability of Putin’s regime. It further undermined Moscow’s efforts to position itself as a global power, though it did not affect the fighting between Russia and Ukraine. Russia will remain an essential player in the Middle East (vital for its economy following the war). Still, the rebellion will strengthen the bargaining power of the region’s countries, including Israel, vis-à-vis Moscow.
Russia’s threat against the Jewish Agency is a Bargaining Measure
Israel should prepare for a prolonged crisis. The Russians might want to delay or accelerate the legal process to exploit the elections period. The verdict will not constitute the final word. The government is advised to navigate the crisis behind the scenes: publicity might accelerate escalation.
A New Global Order? Israel’s Relations with China and Russia in Light of the War in Ukraine
Despite their mutual support throughout the first hundred days of the war, Russia and China continue to have competing interests. Whereas Israel needs to be more responsive to Washington's concerns about its two global competitors, it must also be mindful of populist calls to destabilize relations with Moscow and Beijing.
Russia or the West – Which Should Jerusalem Choose?
The Israeli government has not publicly expressed a position regarding the gathering of Russian forces on the Ukrainian border. Still, a renewed war between Russia and Ukraine could make it challenging to choose between its commitment to its Western allies and its important relationship with Russia.