EU welcomes normalisation of relations between Israel and Gulf States
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The Palestinians will have to adopt a more mature policy and understand that no side can realize all its dreams.
Will Israel strike Iran?
Prof. Inbar of JISS: The strike on Soleimani warns Iran that the option for expanded US use of force against Iran is on the table. General Amidror of JISS: Israel must navigate its path based on the assumption that it cannot... fundamentally change the situation in the Middle East, neither by political agreements nor by using military force.
With UAE-Israel normalization, Trump's plan finally lifts off
Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS: The UAE-Israel agreement is not simply of only bilateral interest, but, rather, significantly strengthens one of the regional “camps” over the others in their struggle that reaches across the length and width of the Mideast, from Yemen to Lebanon, Iraq to Libya.
Trump’s Peace Plan Rescues Benjamin Netanyahu. For Now.
General Yaakov Amidror: In the Middle East, never assume the promise of future success is equivalent to actual success. Netanyahu masterfully turns lemons into lemonade.
If the enemy of my enemy gets the bomb: Saudi nuclear plan gives Israel headache
Dr. Joshua Krasna: I am sure we would be happy if the Saudis didn’t work toward nuclear weapons. But that is not the same as saying we have a significant impetus to do something about it.
The Dangers of Annexation
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The Palestinians are tired of the conflict and understand Israel's superior military power. Another intifada is not expected even if Israel applies its sovereignty to parts of the West Bank.
Will Israel’s move towards sovereignty harm burgeoning relations with Arab Gulf states?
Dr. Joshua Krasna: No Arab government can be seen to officially acquiesce to Israel’s ‘taking off the table’ a large part of the disputed territory.
Excluded from Netanyahu’s annexation plans, military must somehow prepare anyway
Prof. Inbar and Dr. Lerman of JISS: While Israeli security forces must prepare for a potential outbreak of violence, the response by Palestinians may not be as bad as others expect and would give Israel a clear upper hand in future negotiations.
Do the benefits of annexation outweigh the costs?
Dr. Lerman and Prof. Inbar of JISS: Extend Israeli law to areas that Israel deems to be of strategic importance, like the Jordan Valley and Jerusalem envelope. extending Israeli law to areas that Israel deems to be of strategic importance, like the Jordan Valley
How worried should Israel be about the Arab response to its extended sovereignty bid?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Palestinian opposition to an extension of Israeli law to the Jordan Valley is irrelevant. The lengthy negotiations with the Palestinians have led nowhere, and there is Israeli consensus that the Palestinian national movement is not ripe for accepting a historical compromise with the Jewish state.
Despite criticism from abroad, Israelis united over annexation
Israeli plans to annex the Jordan Valley and parts of the West Bank have drawn criticism from around the world, but most Israelis favor the goal.
JISS Poll: Israelis favor sovereignty in Jordan Valley, Judea and Samaria
A Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security poll shows that 60% of Israelis who have an opinion want Israeli law applied to the Jordan Valley, while 57% think it should apply also to settlements in Judea and Samaria. A JISS position paper recommends that Israel move ahead with Trump peace plan, in stages.
New Israeli Gov’t Sworn Into Office, Ending 18-Month Political Saga
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Annexation can move forward as long as there is a willingness by the Israeli government to enter negotiations on the basis of President Trump’s Middle East peace plan, which calls for a simultaneous construction freeze in areas designated for a future Palestinian state.
Jordan Valley settlements were established by the Labor Movement,
and the late Yitzhak Rabin believed in them. Nearly all Israelis want
the Jordan Valley to remain part of the state, and we must not let this opportunity slip by.
Major upheavals due to coronavirus pose challenges for US-Israel relationship
Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS: The next Israeli government will need to heal some
of the wounds to the best of their ability while sustaining bipartisanship.
As calls rise for the US to ease sanctions on Tehran, why is Netanyahu silent?
General Amidror: “Israel attacked targets in Syria yesterday, according to foreign sources. The State of Israel continues to do what it needs to do, without talking, and the Americans do whatever they think is right in terms of sanctions.”
US envoy urges Germany not to celebrate Iran’s Holocaust-denying regime.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: The German government’s planned participation in the 41st anniversary of the establishment of the Iranian Regime is a disgrace for Germany.
Those who encourage the Palestinians to reject the deal of the century do not serve the cause of peace.
Selon l’universitaire israélien Emmanuel Navon, proche du Likoud, le plan de Donald Trump pour le Proche Orient n’interdirait pas la création d’un Etat palestinien digne de ce nom.
Russia’s displeasure with Israel simmers as Putin readies to visit for Yad Vashem event.
Micky Aharonson of JISS: It is important for Putin to portray himself as anti-fascist and a fighter against anti-Semitism. This gives him credit in the international community.
Iranian authorities bulldozed grave of executed Christian pastor.
Fr. Yossi Mansharof: The Khamenei-led regime persecutes the Christians in Iran because more and more Muslim people chose to convert to this religion, as a result of their anger and disgust toward the Islamic Republic of Iran.
After the US took out Soleimani, Iran vowed retaliation. Was that it?
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: The chances of a direct war with Iran are very low, but the reliance of Tehran on proxy warfare will play a major role.
Plain Talk by Israel’s Top Soldier Seen as Filling Political Vacuum.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The main significance of Kochavi’s speech lay in the chief of staff’s willingness to candidly discuss policies previously left opaque.
Is Netanyahu planning a preemptive attack against Hezbollah?
The JISS forecast for 2020 lit a fire under the Israeli defense establishment and also set in motion a tsunami of speculation about the possibility of a conflagration on Israel's northern front.
What Israel needs is strategic patience, there are no more existential threats.
On the new book by Dr. Uzi Rubin of JISS on missile defense, and Dr. Chuck Freilich's book on decision making.
Moscow’s trouble with Israelis has a deeper meaning.
Micky Aharonson: The Naama Issachar case is “surrounded by so many other things, such as the growing anger of the Russian military and security establishment towards Israel.”
Experts at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS), a foreign affairs and defense think tank, gave The Jerusalem Post a first look at its forecast for the coming year. Israel, they say, must be ready to tackle Iran militarily on its own and fight a pre-emptive warfare with Hizballah.
Ex-security chief: Israel needs to attack Iran to stop nukes, ‘ring of fire'.
Maj. Gen. Amidror: There might come a situation where we will have to act directly in Iran to stop the Iranians. The world is not ready to act…not NATO, not the US…they prefer to close their eyes.
“El verdadero peligro de Israel está en la frontera del norte”
Investigador en el Instituto de Estrategia y Seguridad de Jerusalem, y especialista en Islam e Irán, Yossi Mansharof analizó los últimos acontecimientos registrados en el sur del país, a pocas horas del cese el fuego entre Israel y la Yihad Islámica, en diálogo exclusivo con
Will the loaded, long-distance relationship between Russia and Israel last?
Micky Aharonson: “There is a positive tone in the discussions, but it is disconnected from Russia’s strategic decisions, which are based on Russian interests.”
How worried should we be that Russia might have an Israeli missile? Not very, says expert.
Founder and former head of the Homa Directorate in the Defense Ministry Dr. Uzi Rubin, says Israel must take into account that what goes up, must come down – sometimes, over the border.
Israeli, Moroccan Host Kushner for Peace Breakfast.
The breakfast was hosted by VP of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman and JISS global board member Ahmed Charai, a Moroccan businessman and writer.
"There is no good or bad terrorism. Iran cannot threaten Israel's destruction"
Sujan R. Chinoy, Director-General of the Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses in New Delhi, visited Israel under the auspices of JISS. He says he is optimistic about India’s relationship with Israel: "It is greater than any temporary political climate."
The new enemy just over the Syrian border.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Iran is exploiting the lack of a centralized power in Afghanistan and Pakistan to enlist support for and manpower for its militias.
Attacks on Iranian targets in Syria serve Russian interests.
Col. Lerman of JISS: Down the road, what the Iranians want to do in Syria and what the Russians want to do in Syria are two totally different things.
Based in Lebanon but entrenched in Latin America, Hezbollah helps Iran spread global terrorism.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: The Trump administration is determined to fight the Iranian and Hezbollah presence in South America.
Does Bahrain Expect Returns on Its Now-Public Association With Israel?
Omer Dostri: Israel-Bahrain ties are based on a common front against Iran’s hostile and subversive activities in the Middle East.
THE QUESTION ISRAEL’S LEADERS ASK EVERY DAY: WILL TOMORROW BE TOO LATE?
General Amidror of JISS: Iran’s strategic plan is to create a deterrence barrier around Israel, stretching from Lebanon to Syria to Iraq to the Gaza Strip, in order to threaten Israel with an overwhelming and devastating strike on its homeland, should Israel attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.
‘Israel needs to shift from fear to self-confidence and pride’
Former Deputy IDF Chief of Staff Maj. Gen. Yair Golan's next destination is politics, saying the Knesset chaos "only makes me hungrier." Golan explains why Israel should not be afraid to launch a full-fledged invasion of Gaza if necessary.
The Bahrain conundrum: Will the Trump administration succeed in its first phase of Arab-Israeli peacemaking?
David M. Weinberg of JISS: The Trump administration is reversing a long-deleterious global dynamic regarding Israel and the Palestinians, thus transforming the Mideast diplomatic playing field.
Instability in Jerusalem bodes poorly for Trump's peace plan.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Israel's transitional government is unlikely to make any significant decisions on the peace process without a clear mandate from the public.
Defense and Security experts from the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security sit down with Israel Hayom and outline their new national security plan for Israel. They explain that while Hamas isn't worth a ground offensive, Israel must contain Hezbollah. And Iran? Iran is the biggest threat.
Did Trump's Jerusalem Embassy Move Help Peace Prospects?
Trump moved the embassy under the pretense that the Palestinians had to recognize 'a reality' — one which dictates that the city belongs to Israel. Did this move help advance the peace process in the long run? Mitvim Institute Director of Development Gayle Meyers and Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security founder Eran Lerman debate.
Is it time for the IDF to inflict ‘massive damage’ on Hamas?
Prof. Inbar: The IDF concept of using accurate intelligence for pinpoint airstrikes has proven deficient. A land incursion may be needed to convince Israel’s enemies that we are ready to pay a price in casualties in order to secure the well-being of our citizens.
Jordan’s King Abdullah seeks regional prestige and standing … at Israel’s expense.
Dr. Joshua Krasna: It is difficult to see the benefits of giving an important role on the Temple Mount to the Saudis, a fundamentalist Sunni regime which has actively supported radical Salafi movements in the recent past and whose friendship with Israel is new and, unlike our relationship with Jordan, hardly tested.
'Israel, IDF decided to cross threshold not crossed before'
IDF Colonel (Res.) Dr. Eran Lerman tells Arutz Sheva 'Israel is trying to rewrite the rules of the game, with one clear emphasis.'
New Palestinian government beleaguered by ‘corruption, nepotism and ineptitude’
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The PA continues to subscribe to maximalist unrealistic positions that ensure the continuation of conflict between the two national movements.
Of annexation and Trump’s peace plan, what’s next on the post-Israeli election agenda?
Prof. Inbar: Annexation of the West Bank or parts of the West Bank has been on the agenda of every Israeli government, including Labor-led governments because want the settlement blocs as part of Israel.
Does Hamas see Israel’s deterrence waning?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Deterrence is a tricky notion. Dr. Eran Lerman: Hamas is irritating us in order to obtain certain limited gains through the negotiating process.
US recognition of Israel’s sovereignty in Golan ‘sends a direct message to the Arab world’.
David M. Weinberg of JISS: Trump is saying: The longer you wait to make peace with Israel, the less you’re going to get.
Gaza rocket hits Israeli home injuring seven; Netanyahu cuts short Washington trip.
Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS: “When there was intensive rocket fire on the southern area that borders Gaza, Israel found a workable modus vivendi, involving transfer of Qatari money to Hamas. If Netanyahu now reacts aggressively, then people will say the blood of those in the center of the country is thicker than in the south. If he does not respond, then he’ll be criticized for not doing anything in the face of brazen provocation.”
Political Dynamics Raise Risk for Israel-Hamas Clash.
Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS: “The anti-Hamas demonstrations that indicate a level of frustration and anger not seen before. (The missile fire on Israel) is a familiar tactic to refocus the tension on the real enemy.”
Experts see Israel’s support for Venezuela’s Guaidó as a ‘win-win’.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: “It would have been inconceivable for Israel not to join the voices of free countries Guaidó has been recognized by the United States, Canada and most Latin American democracies.”
'Israel will continue to react to military entrenchment by Iran'
Israel has carried out airstrikes on Iranian targets in the vicinity of the Syrian capital Damascus. The Israeli Defense Forces have confirmed the military operation in an tweet earlier this morning. Radio Sputnik discussed the development with Efraim Inbar, president of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategic Studies.
How critical are American boots on the ground in Syria for Israel?
General Amidror: “Declaring Israeli sovereignty over the Golan won’t help us in acting against the Iranians, but it won’t stop us from acting against the Iranians.”
Is the time ripe for Israel to push for recognition of the Golan Heights?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: I am not sure we should spend much political capital on this issue. After all, the Golan is in our hands since ’67, more years than the Syrians ruled the area. Who can change this strategically important fact?
The IDF’s Anti-Tunnel Operation is Not about Tunnels.
General Amidror: It is important to build a legitimacy case against Hezbollah as a criminal terror organization hiding behind and under civilians, exploiting its citizens as human shields.
Will Saudi Arabia establish full diplomatic ties with Israel?
Dr. Joshua Krasna: I don’t think it’s likely we will see formal diplomatic relations with Saudi Arabia, or indeed with any of the Gulf Arab states, at any time in the near future.
Bricks In The 'Wall': Israel as a Test-Case for President Trump's Proposed Border Measures.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The West Bank security fence is not a fool-proof system, but what's important are Israeli actions beyond the fence combined with intelligence gathering to thwart terrorism and other threats.
The IDF under newly appointed chief of staff.
Prof. Efraim Inbar comments on the most urgent tasks facing the incoming chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces, Major General Aviv Kochavi.
IRAN'S LEBANESE CONTROL DEMANDS REEVALUATION OF WEST'S SUPPORT FOR BEIRUT.
General Amidror: Hezbollah’s bases will have to be destroyed by the Israeli air force, and there is no tactical way to do so without massive amounts of damage.
Is the situation with Gaza ‘the problem from hell?’
Prof. Efraim Inbar: We cannot trust Hamas to keep the calm. Only when Hamas is afraid of IDF retaliation, which has yet to come, will calm prevail. General Amidror: A war in Gaza will only benefit PA leader Mahmoud Abbas and Iran. And we don’t want to give Iran any gifts.
Iran is now manufacturing, upgrading missiles in Iraq, sources say.
Speaking at JISS, strategic affairs minister warns of scenario in which Iran is fighting Israel on multiple fronts, including in Judea and Samaria.
Defense minister accidentally reveals sensitive information.
Speaking at event hosted by Jerusalem Institute for Strategic Studies, Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman details IDF deployment in exact numbers, which are classified • As minister outranks military censor, it is unclear if he violated guidelines.
Poll: 91% of Israelis favor strikes on Iranian assets in Syria.
Some 77% of respondents believe Israel must pursue hard-line policies to thwart Iran's nuclear ambitions, Jerusalem Institute for Strategic Studies poll finds. It also finds 57% are pleased with how PM Netanyahu is handling the Iranian threat.
Trump’s wavering on one-state or two-states leaves many in a state of confusion.
Middle East analysts say there is growing skepticism around the world of the Palestinians’ ability even to create and sustain an independent state. Prof. Efraim Inbar: Sometimes ambiguity serves us better than a clear solution.”
Europeans working hard to sabotage US sanctions on Iran.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Germany and France want to circumvent U.S. sanctions for business reason. And the EU hates Trump, and will do whatever it can to circumvent him.
Russia and Israel step back from brink after Syria downs military plane.
Dr. Jonathan Spyer: Russia will not stand in the way of Israeli operations to stop Iranian expansion, knowing how existential they are seen in Jerusalem.
Russia Rages at Israel After Syria Downs Russian Plane, Key Israeli Delegation Goes to Moscow.
General Amidror: It is very important for Israel to prevent the Iranians from building this independent war machine in Syria and to prevent the Iranians from transferring game-changer weapons systems into the hands of Hezbollah.
The desire of eastern Jerusalem Arabs to integrate in Israeli society outweighs the threats of the Palestinian Authority.
Dr. David Koren, Advisor to the Mayor of Jerusalem, and a fellow at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategic Studies, talks about the struggle between Israelization and Islamization in eastern Jerusalem.
Stemming The Tide: France Boosts Aid To Jordan For Syrian Refugees.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Macron is seeking to fill the void left by the US in the Middle East, and boost France’s hard and soft power in the region.
Syria in Gaza, Without the Russians.
Dr. Eran Lerman: The Gaza Strip is a microcosm of what is happening throughout the region - a reflection of the broader conflicts throughout the Middle East.
One hundred kilometers between war and peace in Syria?
General Amidror: Confronting Iran in Syria now is preferable than allowing the Islamic Republic to build up its military capability in Syria on par with that of Hizbullah's in Lebanon.
After Hamas: Why Israel Fears A Power Vacuum in Gaza.
Dr. Eran Lerman: Israel’s reticence to cross the fine line between a “proportional response” and complete invasion is compounded by a lack of desire to re-occupy Gaza, which would be a huge political and economic burden and undoubtedly generate a major diplomatic backlash.
With ‘peace’ in doubt, Israelis search for alternatives to two-state solution
David M. Weinberg of JISS: Trump's team should be given credit for taking a fresh look at what is safe, wise, fair and realistic in today’s Israeli-Palestinian reality.
on the nexus between Syria, Iran, Russia and Israel
Dr Jonathan Spyer discusses how the interests of Russia, Iran and Israel are influencing the situation in Syria as the civil war draws to an end.
Israelis Reflect on Gaza: ‘I Hope at Least That Each Bullet Was Justified’
Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman: The death toll has to be measured not against some ideal of a nonlethal solution, but against Hamas’s purposes and what would have happened if they had breached the fence.
Gaza buries its dead as death toll from protests at fence with Israel rises to at least 60.
General Amidror: Hamas is a terrorist organization that is attempting to stop Israel from building a system that would stop their underground terror tunnels.
'Nakba Day': To Create Better Future, Palestinians Must Overcome the Past
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The Palestinians need to decide internally whether they are willing to overcome their divisions and problems or be doomed to a chaotic situation. So long as they continue to fan the flames of hatred against Israel and are unprepared to change, they will be unable to create a state.
EXPERT: IRAN LIKELY TO CONTINUE NUCLEAR PROGRAM WHEN NUCLEAR DEAL EXPIRES
Prof. Efraim Inbar: It was quite clear that the Americans were not surprised by the speech by Prime Minister Netanyahu, and they knew about it in advance.
Bucking world opinion, Trump withdraws from Iran nuclear deal, imposes ‘highest level of economic sanctions’
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: "Iran will try to keep the agreement going for the cash and test economic ties with other powers. And it will be easier for Iran to cheat on the agreement without the U.S. involved.”
Capital punishment? Nearly half of Jerusalem's residents aren't citizens.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Giving citizenship to Arab east Jerusalemites is not only fair but also good for Israel on the strategic level.
Suspected Israeli strikes hit Iran-linked targets in Syria, escalating regional tensions.
Dr. Jonathan Spyer of JISS: With Israel determined to prevent the “consolidation and entrenchment” of Iranian influence in Syria, “the chances of confrontation between Israel and Iran are quite significant.”
'MISSION ACCOMPLISHED' IN SYRIA WOULD BE BLESSING FOR ASSAD, TROUBLE FOR ISRAEL.
Dr. J. Spyer: Jerusalem remains concerned that the US and its partners are turning a blind eye to Iran's attempts to entrench itself in the country.
A hard look at the Israeli admission of 2007 attack on a Syrian nuclear reactor, and its message for Iran.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Striking Iranian facilities would be much more difficult.
World Israel News 22.03.2018
How Palestinian votes in municipal elections may change the face of Jerusalem.
Dr. David Koren: Perhaps some Palestinians believe voting will bear more fruit than sticking with the Palestinian Authority. Prof. Efraim Inbar: If Arabs vote in greater numbers, the most pressing challenge will be to bring Zionists to the city to ensure its character.
With Iran operating in Syria, Israel girds itself for 'First Northern War'
General Amidror: Israel will have to face two fronts at the same time: one in Syria, one in Lebanon
CBC News, 01.03.18
Iran, Deeply Embedded in Syria, Expands ‘Axis of Resistance’ Gen. Amidror: “Israel face not only quantities of Hezbollah missiles, but the threat to vulnerable strategic sites.” By Ben Hubbard, Isabel Kershner and Anne Barnard, The New York Times, Feb. 19, 2018
Pence, longtime friend of Israel, to receive warm welcome in Jewish State. D. Weinberg of JISS: “Pence’s will echo Trump’s message of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, while keeping the door open to a diplomatic settlement down the road.” World Israel News, 21.01.2018