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The global and regional reality created by the war strengthens Israel and enhances its international and regional standing
Organized crime provides Iran with plausible deniability because these acts appear to be carried out informally. Israel must institutionalize and strengthen global and regional collaboration to counter Iran's Narco-Terrorism.
What should Israel’s strategy be for the day after a nuke deal with Iran?
The lessons Iran has learned from the Russia-Ukraine war
The IRGC officers observe Ukraine's inability to inflict damage behind Russian lines. According to an IRGC official news release, the war in Ukraine highlights the significance of missiles for Iran because they can create what is referred to as a "balance of terror" and force the enemy to the negotiating table. The military purpose of the IRGC's nuclear program is no longer a secret. They cite Ukraine's decision to give up its nuclear weapons under US supervision as evidence that Iran must maintain its nuclear deterrent.
Nuclear deal with Iran: Does the EU proposal deal with the sunset clauses?
Differences between U.S., Israel on Iran nuke issue remain despite Biden's visit
Efraim Inbar: Israel Will Confront Iran Militarily, Deal or No Deal
Ex-national security adviser says fresh Israeli policy raised the stakes for Iran
IRGC Stays on US Terror List after Israeli Pressure
America’s ‘Plan B’ in case Iran talks fail not ‘well-formulated enough’
What is ‘Plan B’ for Israel or America if Iran nuclear deal goes unsigned?
A proactive approach against Iran’s proxies is needed.
It is time to revive the spirit of Ben-Gurion’s famous dictum from the days of WWII regarding the stance toward the British: “We will fight the war as if there were no White Paper, and we will fight the White Paper as if there were no war.” This makes sense concerning Israel’s dilemma towards the US in the context of the renewal of the JCPOA.
A network of personalities and organizations in Russia can be said to be directly or indirectly promoting the interests of Iran in Russia in various fields. However, Russia and Iran are not allies and treat each other with considerable suspicion. This is a constraint for the Iranian lobbying effort.
US obsession with Palestinians and appeasement of Iran dampened Negev Summit
Interview: Will Negev Summit Curb Iran’s ‘Audacious Demands?’
Historic Negev Summit unites Israel and four Arab states against Iran, ‘irritating’ US policies
On the negotiations between world powers and Iran over a new nuclear deal
Iran Nuclear Deal Negotiations
Israel Warns World Powers Not to Bend to Iran's Demands
Israeli researchers: Iran nuclear breakout could occur ‘within a space of weeks,’ regional cooperation necessary
Iran’s UAVs tip the balance of power in the Middle East
Iran nuclear talks resume in Vienna
Interview with Dr. Eran Lerman on Iran's nuclear program
The withdrawal of American forces from the Middle East may have strategic merits. The rationale for a contracted global military seems to match what American strategists have termed “offshore balancing,” which means that the U.S. holds fewer overseas bases but maintains its military capability to intervene in distant regions when necessary.
The Iran talks are likely going nowhere
Iran uses uranium enrichment as leverage on the EU and US to get concessions.
Israel Presses Military Option on Iran, as Nuclear Talks Appear to Crumble
Israel, the US and the Iranian nuclear project: Back to basics
It is not in America’s interest for Israel to be perceived as an obedient lap dog. On the contrary, keeping Israel’s options open, or even enhancing them, will ultimately prove to be of value to the US.
Lapid’s Iran approach seems to be paying off with Western allies… for now
Iran stalling in talks as it ups ante on nuclear program, say experts
From Tehran’s perspective, the goals are lifting the sanctions and securing immunity from military attacks.
Why is Iran returning to the negotiating table?Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror's JISS article reprinted in Arutz 7
Why is Iran returning to the negotiating table?Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror's JISS article reprinted in JNS
Why is Iran returning to the negotiating table?Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror's JISS article reprinted in Israel Hayom
The American hope for the resumption of the talks, and the talks themselves, give the Iranians more freedom of action. They restrict US activity in response to mounting provocations.
Report: Israel Military Readies For Iran ConfrontationInterview with Olivier Rafowicz
Briefing by Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman - October 17, 2021
What are Israel’s Options against Iran’s Nuclear Program?Interview with Prof. Efraim Inbar
With the help of American Jewry, a sturdy foundation of support for Israel-US ties needs to be rebuilt based upon traditional bipartisan commitment. This will enable Israel to engage effectively with the Biden Administration and Congress on the Iranian challenge.
Even if Israel’s ability to influence US decision-making is limited, it is a serious mistake to downplay Israel's opposition to the dangerous nuclear accord.
Nuclear Iran in a month, regional conflict in two?Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman: The progression of Tehran’s nuclear program has significantly quickened in the last six months. Together with the effective removal of international supervision, the Iranian position has substantially changed.
Bennett’s mission is to emphasize the American interest in the region and present Israel’s capacity to help in attaining it.
On the Iranian Nuclear ThreatVideo briefing by Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman (and others) for the Alma Research and Education Center. (June 15, 2021)
On Iranian nuclear sites under attack Interview with Prof. Efraim Inbar
On the exposure of secret Iranian nuclear facilities Interview with Micky Aharonson
In DC, Israel’s top spy and security wonk face a mission impossible on IranDr. Eran Lerman: They can move the needle a bit, but their trip is unlikely to prevent the Biden administration from barreling towards a deal with Tehran.
Sanctions relief, nothing else. Iran has no intention of forsaking its nuclear and missile programs nor its proxy wars across the region.
By ignoring Israel’s views on an issue critical to its security, Washington will cast a dark shadow over Israel’s status as a key American ally in the Middle East.
On the nuclear talks with Iran in ViennaInterview with Dr. Emmanuel Navon
The US should be appreciative of any significant delay in Iran's breakout timetable towards a nuclear weapon. The time gained can and should be used to negotiate a "longer, stronger" agreement.
Israel, Iran on collision course as Iran vows revenge for alleged Israeli cyberattack on nuke facilityCol. Eran Lerman of JISS: The premise among Israeli defense officials is that there may come a time when Israel will enter a major war. This is a risk Israel is willing to take if there will be no other way to stop Iran.
Ex-national security adviser warns: ‘Iran has ability to harm us significantly’Yaakov Amidror: Tehran’s willingness to use its military capabilities against Israel ‘depends on what level they want to produce this encounter.’
After Saviz strike, Israel may be in dire straits trying to battle Iran at seaGeneral Amidror of JISS: The endgame is to make it clear to the Iranians that they cannot strike civilian ships that have a connection to Israel. And if they continue to do that, then Israel knows how to operate against Iran.
On renewed Iran-US nuclear talks Interview with Dr. Emmanuel Navon
On Iran's advanced enrichment of uranium at NatanzInterview with Prof. Efraim Inbar
Israel-US dialogue is necessary about Iran’s nuclear program, since a good agreement with Iran is a clear Israeli interest. But Israel must be prepared with a military option against Iran, as a last resort.
Jerusalem views with trepidation the possibility that the Biden administration will embark on a human rights crusade in the Middle East.
On Biden Administration policies that will impact IsraelInterview with Dr. Eran Lerman
The launch of Iran's first solid propellant space rocket is highly significant.
On the interim accord between the IAEA and IranInterview with Dr. Emmanuel Navon
The dangerous, disappearing PersiansProf. Efraim Inbar: Escalation in the use of force to reverse Iranian ascendance in Middle East politics, to prevent its nuclearization, and to prevent the encirclement of Israel by Iranian proxies, is probable.
JISS Briefing by Prof. Efraim Inbar, 31.01.2021
Former Israeli official: Americans should not give Iranians leverage by easing sanctionsGeneral Yaakov Amidror: The Biden administration needs to grasp that it’s a different Middle East. I don’t think the old notions and ideas will work.
Netanyahu warns as Biden seeks reentry to Iran deal Maj. Gen. (res.) Yaakov Amidror at JISS: If the US returns to the old nuclear agreement with Iran, Israel will have no choice but to act militarily to prevent Iran from manufacturing a nuclear weapon.
On US Policy Towards IranInterview with Prof. Efraim Inbar
A "Clean Return," without ironclad new provisions that strengthen and lengthen the JCPOA, will diminish US clout and destabilize the Mideast.
Giving Iran unearned incentives in advance of negotiations only will bring about more Iranian provocation.
With Iran nuclear deal likely, Israel puts all options back on the tableGeneral Amidror of JISS: If the US returns to the old nuclear agreement with Iran, Israel will have no choice but to act militarily to prevent Iran from manufacturing a nuclear weapon.
Biden's Policies Toward Israel Starkly Different From Trump's, Experts SayProf. Efraim Inbar: Biden is a close friend of Israel. His presence in the White House is an opportunity to rehabilitate relations with the Democratic Party.
Iran and Israel: The inevitable war?Prof. Efraim Inbar for The Brussels Times
Iran-Israel relations are essentially a zero-sum game, leaving Israel little choice but to act upon its existential instincts. Therefore, escalation in the use of force to reverse Iranian ascendance in Middle East politics, to prevent its nuclearization, and to prevent the encirclement of Israel by Iranian proxies, is probable.
Israel seeks to disrupt Iran's efforts to develop nuclear weapons, and to reverse the Iranian project to entrench its forces in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.
Ex-NSC chief Amidror: Huge mistake for Biden to drop leverage on IranBiden should seek Iran nuke restrictions for 50 years.
Experts say Iran likely to delay retaliation against Israel for assassinated nuclear scientistProf. Efraim Inbar: It is wrong to assume that Iran will retaliate immediately.
Israel should seek to persuade the Biden transition team not to offer Iran any premature concessions; it should outline what would constitute an acceptable, "stronger and longer" deal; find other international actors to support the policy suggested by Israel (possibly France and even Russia); and prepare a viable military option, both to strengthen America’s negotiating hand and as an option in the case of failure to reverse Iran's present course.
To acquire greater freedom of action in dealing with Iran's quest for nuclear weapons, Israel needs to minimize tensions with the US on the Palestinian front.
Trump's Middle East peace plan and the recent Israel-Arab peace accords limit Chinese influence in the region. Countering this, China is advancing a collective security concept for the region based on the JCPOA. The US and Israel must stymie this Chinese gambit and reinforce the Abraham Accords.
UAVs, which used to be supportive weapons systems, are rapidly maturing into decisive weapons. Israel now faces threats from the entire spectrum of unmanned aerospace vehicles, ranging from Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles (UCAVs) to Kamikaze drones and precision ballistic missiles.
Both Biden’s and Trump’s Iran policies raise concerns in IsraelGeneral Amidror: Israel’s redline is that Iran must not get close to a nuclear bomb. Iran can have no legitimacy for enrichment or long-term nuclear development.
Iran’s space program is more than a by-product of its missile program. It is central to the Islamic Republic's quest for regional hegemony and global power.
Will Israel strike Iran? Prof. Inbar of JISS: The strike on Soleimani warns Iran that the option for expanded US use of force against Iran is on the table. General Amidror of JISS: Israel must navigate its path based on the assumption that it cannot... fundamentally change the situation in the Middle East, neither by political agreements nor by using military force.
On blocking Iranian progress in developing nuclear weapons Maj. Gen. (Res.) Yaakov Amidror to i24 News
Video briefing by JISS fellow Dr. Uzi Rubin, founder and first director of the Israel Missile Defense Organization, about Iran’s space program. (July 26, 2020)
Hitting Iran where it hurtsDr. Yossi Mansharof: Nuclear weapons would boost Iran to superpower status. Diplomacy has failed to stop the regime.
Soldiers in uniform for less time means the army has less time to train them and can make use of their skills for a shorter period. In addition, there is no benefit in releasing potential young workers early at a time of rife unemployment.
“Qods Day” reflects Tehran's determination to annihilate Israel, a pillar of Iranian foreign policy. It also is an important part of “exporting” the Islamic Revolution.
A firm stand at this critical juncture may prove to be of use as part of the effort to bring Iran back to the nuclear negotiating table on terms more acceptable to the US and to Trump's regional allies, including Israel.
Ex-security chief: Israel needs to attack Iran to stop nukes, ‘ring of fire'. Maj. Gen. Amidror: There might come a situation where we will have to act directly in Iran to stop the Iranians. The world is not ready to act…not NATO, not the US…they prefer to close their eyes.
Israel must continue to take the offensive against Iran’s nuclear program, without reliance on international inspectors.
EXPERT: IRAN LIKELY TO CONTINUE NUCLEAR PROGRAM WHEN NUCLEAR DEAL EXPIRES Prof. Efraim Inbar: It was quite clear that the Americans were not surprised by the speech by Prime Minister Netanyahu, and they knew about it in advance.
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