אלכס גרינברג הוא עמית מחקר בכיר במכון ירושלים לאסטרטגיה ולביטחון. חוקר את איראן ומשמש כיועץ מודיעיני וגאופוליטי לחברות עסקיות. דובר פרסית, ערבית, רוסית וצרפתית. רס"ן (מיל') בחטיבת המחקר של אמ"ן. לומד לדוקטורט בהיסטוריה של איראן באוניברסיטת תל אביב. בעל תואר ראשון בלימודי המזרח התיכון, האסלאם והשפה והספרות הערבית, ותואר שני בשפה ובספרות ערבית, שניהם מהאוניברסיטה העברית בירושלים.
After Washington imposed an aviation blockade of Iran, regional governments largely chose access to the American financial system over the risk of Iranian retaliation, with Azerbaijan realigning and Armenia emerging as the principal exception
The United States blockade, secondary sanctions, and Iran’s growing commercial isolation are unlikely to bring down the Islamic Republic in the near term. But by depriving Tehran of oil revenue, imports, and foreign exchange, they could increasingly constrain its ability to rebuild its military, nuclear, and proxy capabilities
War damage and import bottlenecks have intensified a long-standing gasoline imbalance, while cheap fuel continues to drive overconsumption and smuggling. Tehran’s efforts to fix the system are constrained by the political risks of subsidy reform
The Jerusalem Post, 23.08.2026 Click here to read the article
As Tehran’s power in the Persian Gulf erodes, so does its ability to shape the balance farther north. Unresolved maritime claims, Azerbaijan’s growing influence, and mounting economic and envi-ronmental pressures are narrowing Iran’s options in the Caspian basin.
Baku’s rise as a venue for unofficial European-Russian diplomacy underscores Azerbaijan’s growing regional leverage, Berlin’s need for backchannels to Moscow, and Iran’s anxiety over the changing balance of power in the South Caucasus
The decision neither restrains Turkey nor advances Armenian interests; it weakens Israel’s regional position and rewards Iran and Russia. It should be rescinded
CNN’s reporting on alleged Israeli operations in Azerbaijan shows how Iran uses Western accounts to push its strategic narratives
Iranian-linked seminaries, charities, media outlets, and clerical networks in Georgia should be understood as part of Tehran’s wider regional influence strategy
Tehran is presenting the memorandum as a victory, but the emerging picture points to a regime seeking a tactical pause after severe military, economic, and nuclear setbacks
A critical assessment of the Iranian regular army’s wartime performance, institutional cohesion, regime loyalty, and prospects in a renewed conflict
