ד"ר איימן מנצור

Expert on inter-Arab politics, the northern front and regional strategy.

Email: amansour@jiss.org.il

Served for 13 years in the National Security Council / Prime Minister’s Office in various posts, the last being head of the Middle East and Africa Division (2015-2019). Ph.D. in political science from Haifa University.

Policy Papers

A women in beirut wearing a mask and crying

The Collapse of Lebanon: Scenarios for the Future

The dour forecasts regarding Lebanon’s future are based on fundamental facts that cannot be amended: A corrupt and rotten government and the dominance of Hezbollah. Under these circumstances, a possible alternative to current Israeli policy may be to reinforce the role of Syrian patronage, which has been undermined since 2005.

Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 05.09.2021

Lebanon

Nine lessons for Israel following Gaza operation

Don’t be blackmailed, don’t expect Hamas to keep its promises, and take initiative.

Ms. Micky Aharonson , Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 13.06.2021

Israeli Palestinian Conflict

Time to Update Israeli Policy Toward Syria

Israel should (silently) support a more flexible US policy towards the Syrian regime and the Russian presence in Syria, including the easing of sanctions on Syria, in order to decrease Assad’s dependence on Iranian support and to heighten the conflicts of interest between Moscow and Tehran.

Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 15.02.2021

Syria

The Beirut Disaster: A Chance for a Systemic Change in Lebanon?

The current political situation in Lebanon is very problematic. Hizbullah enjoys full freedom of action in a country which long ago became dysfunctional. Hence the importance of lending support to the French effort to bring about systemic change in the Lebanese confessional order. Further descent into chaos and/or growing intervention by Turkey would be even more dangerous for Israel.

Dr. Aiman Mansour , Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman

Policy Papers 15.10.2020

Hezbollah Lebanon

Assad and Putin middle east illustration

The Tensions between Assad and Iran Present an Opportunity in Syria

Israel and the US may have an opportunity to incentivize Assad and Putin to cooperate in constraining Iran's presence in Syria.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman , Dr. Aiman Mansour , Ms. Micky Aharonson

Policy Papers 26.07.2020

Iran Syria

Lebanon’s Economic Collapse: Consequences for Israel

Israel should study the strategic consequences of the continuous economic deterioration in Lebanon, with an emphasis on the Shiite community's situation. It might favor Hizballah.

Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 04.06.2020

Lebanon Middle Eastern economy

Will Coronavirus be a Moderating Factor in the Middle East?

The assumption that the virus will curb Middle East conflicts does not stand the test of reality. Israel must remain on high security alert.

Ms. Micky Aharonson , Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 07.04.2020

Coronavirus Middle East

Putin’s surprise visit to Syria

Meeting with Assad sent clear messages to the countries of the region.

Ms. Micky Aharonson , Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 22.01.2020

Russia Syria

Could Congress’ latest Syria sanctions bill backfire?

The congressional bill will exacerbate the economic situation in Syria and ultimately increase Syria’s dependency on Iran.

Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 13.01.2020

Syria US Middle East Policy

The Battle for Northwestern Syria: Better Sooner than Later

It is in Israel’s interest that Assad regain control of northwestern Syria. Aside from improving the economic situation in Syria, this may increase Israeli leverage in the campaign against Iran's military entrenchment.

Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 11.12.2019

Syria

Making the Best of US Withdrawal from Syria

Given Iran’s presence in Syria, Israel must employ focused, operative rhetoric and policy versus the strategic threats it faces.

Dr. Aiman Mansour

Policy Papers 24.11.2019

Iran Syria