Israel’s regional standing and challenges.
Dr. Joshua Krasna, interviewed

The genesis of the Trump plan lies in the Israeli Left.
An interview with Prof. Efraim Inbar.

Bibi's Ally Says Kushner Stabbed Netanyahu in the Back With Peace Plan.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The plan addresses the most Israeli concerns and appeals to the mainstream in Israeli politics.

The sovereignty dilemma.
Major Gen. (res.) Yaakov Amidror: We need a strong and effective Jordanian regime, that shares in interest for a quiet border with us.

US envoy urges Germany not to celebrate Iran’s Holocaust-denying regime.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: The German government’s planned participation in the 41st anniversary of the establishment of the Iranian Regime is a disgrace for Germany.

Israel, Russia play delicate balancing act in maintaining tricky relationship.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Ultimately, for Putin, it is not a bad thing that Israel is limiting Iranian presence in Syria.

Those who encourage the Palestinians to reject the deal of the century do not serve the cause of peace.
Selon l’universitaire israélien Emmanuel Navon, proche du Likoud, le plan de Donald Trump pour le Proche Orient n’interdirait pas la création d’un Etat palestinien digne de ce nom.

Despite Syrian-Turkish clashes this week, Moscow is set to remain the key arbiter in Syria.

Europe ought to press the Palestinians to negotiate with Israel for a demilitarized state on a territory similar in size to the pre-1967 West Bank and Gaza Strip and whose economy will be rebuilt and boosted by a $50 billion investment.

Trump administration’s Mideast proposal receives subtle support from Muslim nations.
Dr. Joshua Krasna: Bahrain’s support for the plan is a “trial balloon” for the Saudis.

Don’t Expect Iraqi Stability Anytime Soon.
Interview with Dr. Jonathan Spyer

For first time in history, US plan for Mideast peace puts Israeli concerns at forefront.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: I don’t see peace coming out of the plan, but in the long scheme of things, it is more realistic.

Israel should act to implement the Trump Plan and reap its early rewards, because it transforms the Mideast peace paradigm. Most importantly, the plan reflects, and can serve as a platform for, Israeli consensus on the Palestinian issue.

Even if the Palestinians reject Trump's peace plan, it still serves their long-term interests. False, undeliverable expectations – based on the assumption that "everybody knows" what Israel will be forced to concede – eventually need to give way to a more realistic paradigm, which in turn may lead to a better life for both sides.

The struggles of democracies to combat totalitarian regimes.
Interview with Dr. Eran Lerman.

Most of the regional players are wary an escalation between the US and Iran, a conflict which would be conducted across the Middle East and will have wide implications. If Iranian miscalculation leads President Trump to commit to a significant campaign against Tehran, countries wary of Iranian influence could change their posture, and become more explicitly in line with American positions and interests.

Everything short of a military confrontation needs to be done, though, to deter Erdogan from establishing a barrier diagonally across the Mediterranean, barring Cyprus, Egypt and Israel from connecting their gas infrastructure to Greece and hence to Europe.

It is convenient for Amman to have Israel retain security control over the Jordan Valley. And this is a rare opportunity to advance and potentially realize Israel's security needs for a cemented border in the east with the support of the world's top superpower.

The new government is the product of escalating popular protests under way since October 15. The protests are in response to Lebanon’s dire economic state.

Long live the Tsar.
An interview with Miki Aharonon about Putin’s visit to Israel.

Trilateral cooperation among Israel, Greece and Cyprus to build a natural gas subsea pipeline is setting the stage for more tensions with Turkey in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Russia’s displeasure with Israel simmers as Putin readies to visit for Yad Vashem event.
Micky Aharonson of JISS: It is important for Putin to portray himself as anti-fascist and a fighter against anti-Semitism. This gives him credit in the international community.

Jerusalem is not the place to hold elections for a foreign entity.

Meeting with Assad sent clear messages to the countries of the region.

Iranian authorities bulldozed grave of executed Christian pastor.
Fr. Yossi Mansharof: The Khamenei-led regime persecutes the Christians in Iran because more and more Muslim people chose to convert to this religion, as a result of their anger and disgust toward the Islamic Republic of Iran.

After the US took out Soleimani, Iran vowed retaliation. Was that it?
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: The chances of a direct war with Iran are very low, but the reliance of Tehran on proxy warfare will play a major role.

Soleiman’s ‘Potent Legacy’: Giant Shi’ite Fighting Force From Iran to the Mediterranean.
Dr. Jonathan Spyer: Preserving the militias intact is now the aim of the Iranian leadership.

The congressional bill will exacerbate the economic situation in Syria and ultimately increase Syria’s dependency on Iran.

Israeli town knows conflict with Iran-linked militants, hopes more is not to come.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Hezbollah does not want to drag Lebanon into another war with Israel.

A firm stand at this critical juncture may prove to be of use as part of the effort to bring Iran back to the nuclear negotiating table on terms more acceptable to the US and to Trump's regional allies, including Israel.

Iran’s attacks against the US in Iraq accomplished what was intended

Trump has made it clear that attacks on American personnel are going to elicit a military reaction.

New Year, Same Chaos in Syria.

Israel careful onlooker as Mideast reacts to killing of senior Iranian commander.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Israel needs to sit back, help the Americans with intelligence as much as possible and be prepared to defend herself.

Israel Lauds Suleimani Assassination, Though With Caution.
General Amidror: The strike calms fears in Israel about the United States’ willingness to act in the region.

Israeli embassies, IDF raise alert levels as Iran threatens to avenge Soleimani.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Hezbollah had a worldwide network of operatives, and an attack on American officials, high-ranking military officers or other interests is also possible.

Is Turkey trying to sabotage massive new Israel-Cyprus-Greece EastMed gas deal?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The Libyan-Turkish deal is meant to force Israel and Cyprus to negotiate with Ankara.

Unity missing ingredient for success.
JISS national security document says: The most important challenge facing any government in Israel is nurturing cohesion in Israeli society.

The Protests in Iraq and Iran's involvement.
Dr. Yossi Mansharoff Talks To I24 News.

Israel's military says it must be ready to tackle Iran on its own.
Yoav Limor sits down with the former head of Israel's Security Council for an exclusive i24NEWS interview.

What appears to have caused this escalation was the departure by the Iranians from a tacit ground rule hitherto maintained.

Israel’s Struggle against Hamas’s Indirect Approach

Plain Talk by Israel’s Top Soldier Seen as Filling Political Vacuum.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The main significance of Kochavi’s speech lay in the chief of staff’s willingness to candidly discuss policies previously left opaque.

Should Israel sign non-aggression pacts with Arab countries?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Pushing for formal agreements is counterproductive.

Ktaib Hizballah, with its political, military, economic and mafia-like aspects, is the most potent enemy of the US and its allies in Iraq today.

Is Netanyahu planning a preemptive attack against Hezbollah?
The JISS forecast for 2020 lit a fire under the Israeli defense establishment and also set in motion a tsunami of speculation about the possibility of a conflagration on Israel's northern front.

A thunderous quiet.
JISS: Prepare to take independent military action against Iran; and conversely, prepare for the opposite scenario: that there will be a rapprochement between Iran and the US and the nuclear talks will resume.

What Israel needs is strategic patience, there are no more existential threats.
On the new book by Dr. Uzi Rubin of JISS on missile defense, and Dr. Chuck Freilich's book on decision making.

How Israel's Conflict With Iran Will Be Different in 2020.
As Netanyahu's associates talk about an Iranian effort to deploy a ring of fire around Israel, a think tank is skeptical about the chances for a truce with Hamas

Israel must be ready to tackle Iran militarily on its own and fight a pre-emptive war with Hizballah.

Moscow’s trouble with Israelis has a deeper meaning.
Micky Aharonson: The Naama Issachar case is “surrounded by so many other things, such as the growing anger of the Russian military and security establishment towards Israel.”

Israel needs 360 degrees of air defense to stop Iran: defense expert.
Uzi Rubin, ‘father’ of the Arrow, gives Israel mixed grade at confronting existential challenges.

The National Security of Israel.
Professor Efraim Inbar Speaks With Vanguardia Dossier (Spain).

Experts at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS), a foreign affairs and defense think tank, gave The Jerusalem Post a first look at its forecast for the coming year. Israel, they say, must be ready to tackle Iran militarily on its own and fight a pre-emptive warfare with Hizballah.

It would undoubtedly serve Israel's interest for Russia to draw closer to the US on a wide range of issues, and above all, on Iran.

Trends and likely developments over the coming year in Israel’s strategic environment.
By fellows of JISS, December 2019

Israel needs to make clear to Washington the harm done in the region, and the potential for more harm, by the perception of American policy disarray, weakness and withdrawal.

The Jewish state’s relationship with the U.S. is stronger for resting on an informal basis; replacing it with a formal alliance would do no good and only anger the world’s other major power.

It is in Israel’s interest that Assad regain control of northwestern Syria. Aside from improving the economic situation in Syria, this may increase Israeli leverage in the campaign against Iran's military entrenchment.

Israel needs enhanced naval capability for the protection of its own EEZ and for the creation of a proper balance of power in the eastern Mediterranean.

Israel - Jordan: Diplomacy & Security.
Dr. Joshua Krasna: The security and stability of Jordan is always a question, but the King is in control.

'Palestinian Demand to Remove Israeli Settlements is Unacceptable and Racist' - Scholar.
Prof. Inbar: Israel has always advocated the positions that Jews have a right to settle anywhere in the land of Israel.

Ex-security chief: Israel needs to attack Iran to stop nukes, ‘ring of fire'.
Maj. Gen. Amidror: There might come a situation where we will have to act directly in Iran to stop the Iranians. The world is not ready to act…not NATO, not the US…they prefer to close their eyes.

Tensions escalate amid intense Israeli-Iranian conflict.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof interview with Chinese Xinhua News Agency.

A critical point has been reached where sanctions and military conflict connect. Tehran needs and seeks a limited military confrontation with the West in order to shore-up its legitimacy at home.

The Kurds vow to defend themselves—alone if necessary—against Syria, Turkey and Russia.

At a recent conference on the Mideast economy in Doha, which included the participation of Israeli scholars, discussions highlighted changes in the regional balance of power. Acceptance of Assad's rule in Syria is growing, but so are questions about how Syria’s rehabilitation will be financed. And some Iranians are signaling that Tehran is willing to make political compromises to alleviate economic pressures.

A worldwide network of terrorist groups and alliances is Iran’s strategic weapon for any military escalation scenario. A systematic counterterrorist strategy is necessary to deprive Iran of this powerful tool.

America must provide Iranian demonstrators with access to the Internet to bolster the protests.

Syria remains the main point of contention between the two countries.

Given Iran’s presence in Syria, Israel must employ focused, operative rhetoric and policy versus the strategic threats it faces.

By changing the discourse about settlements, the Trump administration is laying the groundwork for realistic negotiation. Even if you think that Israeli settlement should be rolled-back in the context of a sensible peace arrangement, applying the demonizing epithet “illegal” makes for a destructive narrative that distances, not advances, peace.

“El verdadero peligro de Israel está en la frontera del norte”
Investigador en el Instituto de Estrategia y Seguridad de Jerusalem, y especialista en Islam e Irán, Yossi Mansharof analizó los últimos acontecimientos registrados en el sur del país, a pocas horas del cese el fuego entre Israel y la Yihad Islámica, en diálogo exclusivo con

Israel is expected by its European interlocutors to condemn Putin over his misdeeds, yet Israel wants to avoid frictions with Russia in order to maintain a free hand to operate against Iranian targets in Syria.

L’agence tous risques.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: UNRWA perpetuates the conflict and must be gradually dismantled.

Will the loaded, long-distance relationship between Russia and Israel last?
Micky Aharonson: “There is a positive tone in the discussions, but it is disconnected from Russia’s strategic decisions, which are based on Russian interests.”

Israel’s targeted assassination of terror operative sends a double message.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: At some time, a full-scale ground incursion will be inevitable.

How worried should we be that Russia might have an Israeli missile? Not very, says expert.
Founder and former head of the Homa Directorate in the Defense Ministry Dr. Uzi Rubin, says Israel must take into account that what goes up, must come down – sometimes, over the border.

Iranian strike on Saudi oil facilities a global wake-up call, defense official warns.
Dr. Uzi Rubin of JISS: We are advancing in cruise missiles, and the Iranians are advancing. This is an arms race.

Israel must adapt as quickly as possible to the evolving situation in northern Syria, while continuing to adhere to self-reliance and invest in its military.

Putin, hackers, and cannabis: The bizarre story of an Israeli-American jailed in Russia.
Prof. Inbar: I am not sure this case has a geopolitical angle.

“There’s no panic or despair. But a deep sense of betrayal”
Turkey’s Syria offensive could displace over a million Kurds, top analyst Jonathan Spyer warns. Believes Kurds will reject Israeli offer of humanitarian aid.

Will the people succeed in undermining the Iranian plan to spread power across the region?

After Trump abandons Kurds, Israel knows it can’t rely on anyone.
Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman: Trump’s step is a “moral outrage.”

Does Israel need pacts with Persian Gulf that Katz is trying to secure?
Prof. Inbar: “This has to be gradual. The informal is at times stronger than the formal. We should deepen these ties without making this more difficult for Gulf countries.”

If it weren't for the Iranian regime's distress, it might decide to tread water until US President Trump was out of office. But its resources are limited, and the possibility that the ayatollahs might attack Israel out of desperation is very real.

The IDF must return to the fundamentals: ground maneuver to achieve “hachra’a” – decisive outcomes.

Islamic State, that most malignant expression of the Sunni Islamist trend, was the natural enemy of this emergent Kurdish autonomy.

Once again, Kurds are complaining of “betrayal.”

Trump’s Syria decision accords with previous presidential decisions and is not necessarily a disaster for Israel.

The U.S. withdrawal makes Russia the new arbiter of everyone’s interests, including Israel’s.

On "Kurdophobia," Refugees and Reviving the National Pact Borders.

What Can and Should Be Done to Limit the Scope of the Turkish Assault on Rojava?

The key to avoiding a Saudi-style debacle in Israel is prior intelligence and seamless early warning systems.

While a determined Western-led effort to halt the Turkish invasion could still prevent Russian, Iranian and IS gains, time is growing short.

The move confirms that the current US administration is not interested in heading an alliance of regional forces against Iranian expansionism or Sunni political Islam, but is, like its predecessor, managing imperial decline.

Escalating tensions with Iran should be a warning that Tehran’s strategy of training and arming proxy terror groups throughout the Middle East is not being countered aggressively enough.

Chinese investment in Iran would help Tehran withstand US economic pressures, and exacerbate the Western crisis with Iran

Israel’s strategic situation doesn’t brook inertia.

Recent events in Iraq's Nineveh Province demonstrate the apparent helplessness of the Iraqi government in the face of Iran-backed Shia militias.

Both Pakistani and Israeli concerns currently militate against any imminent warming of ties.

Israeli, Moroccan Host Kushner for Peace Breakfast.
The breakfast was hosted by VP of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman and JISS global board member Ahmed Charai, a Moroccan businessman and writer.

Israel successfully thwarted Hezbollah’s and Iran’s attempts to launch suicide drones from the Syrian village of Aqraba, located some 15 kilometers (9.3 miles) from Israel’s border, at vital targets inside the country on Aug. 24. And yet, the transnational Shiite composition of the terrorist squad behind the attempt could portend what we might expect in […]

The Turkey-Qatar-Muslim Brotherhood alliance first came to prominence in the early, optimistic months of the “Arab Spring.”

Deadlock between Washington and Tehran won’t easily turn into détente even if Trump and Rohani do find a way to meet in New York. However, even a tentative rapprochement between the US and Iran would severely strain Israel’s close ties with the White House.

Riyadh and Tehran on the brink.
KAN's Mark Weiss askes Dr. Yossi Mansharof if he was surprised by the attacks on the Saudi oil installations.

The weapons and tactics employed in Yemen today will be used against Israel tomorrow.

A selective settlement policy focusing on areas within the Israeli consensus, including Ma’aleh Adumim and the Jordan Valley, can be pursued with little foreign interference.

"There is no good or bad terrorism. Iran cannot threaten Israel's destruction"
Sujan R. Chinoy, Director-General of the Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses in New Delhi, visited Israel under the auspices of JISS. He says he is optimistic about India’s relationship with Israel: "It is greater than any temporary political climate."

Think tank urges ‘national unity’ in face of Iran and other threats.
To meet the challenges ahead, Israel must focus on social cohesion, cultivate political allies and “manage” the conflict with the Palestinians, according to a new Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security report.

The new enemy just over the Syrian border.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Iran is exploiting the lack of a centralized power in Afghanistan and Pakistan to enlist support for and manpower for its militias.

TRUMP’S GOT A ‘GOOD FEELING’ ABOUT IRAN? NETANYAHU SHOULD BE NERVOUS.
Prof. Inbar: I do not see the Iranians signing on any deal that will force them to give up their nuclear capability.

Attacks on Iranian targets in Syria serve Russian interests.
Col. Lerman of JISS: Down the road, what the Iranians want to do in Syria and what the Russians want to do in Syria are two totally different things.

Israel’s Shadow War With Iran Widens as Netanyahu Faces Close Election Contest.
General Amidror of JISS: We declared a few years ago that we will not let the Iranians build an independent Iranian war machine.

The recurrent debate about Israel in Pakistan reflects the former’s improved international standing. The Muslim giant could become the next success in Israel’s growing acceptance around the world

Tensions between Israel and Hamas in Gaza.
Prof. Efraim Inbar speaks with TV7.

Tensions on Israel's northern border.
Dr. Eran Lerman speaks to Xinhuanet on the tensions on israel's northern border.

Katz Demands Foreign Ministry Stop Turkish Subversion in East Jerusalem.
Dr. David Koren: Turkey is the most active and important foreign country operating in eastern Jerusalem.

Evangelical Charity World Vision’s Terror-Funding Scandal Continues.
Prof. Inbar: We have the moral duty to demask organizations, such as World Vision, which are undermining Christian values, by spreading hatred and violence.

Will Israel launch a military ground operation in Gaza?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: A large-scale invasion is inevitable.

More than a decade of civil strife has opened up the region for the escalating state-to-state conflict.

Overlooked in the controversy regarding Trump, Omar and Tlaib, and Israel: The imperative of maintaining Israel’s sovereign decision-making.

American withdrawal from the Middle East must be accompanied by steps that reduce the general impression of a weak US going home in defeat. President Trump should bomb Iran’s nuclear installations.

A National Security Policy Plan for Israel.
by the fellows of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security.
September 2019

The recent State Comptroller’s report on Jerusalem shows continuing Jewish emigration from the city. Israel must act swiftly to reverse this trend.

The US should focus on closing sanctions-bypassing channels (especially through Turkey and Qatar), and on eroding Iranian currency reserves. Use the massive legal judgments against Iran for its role in terrorism to hit the country’s currency reserves.

Israel, Egypt, Greece and Cyprus must encourage the US to assert a higher military and diplomatic profile as a counterweight to Turkish pressures, Russian and Iranian ambitions, and Chinese inroads.

Neglecting IDF ground maneuver capabilities is a dangerous gamble.

Iran, Russia, US & Israel Play High-Stakes Geopolitical Chess in Persian Gulf.
Interviews with Dr. Jonathan Spyer and Dr. Yossi Mansharof.

Jordan and other conservative Arab states are struggling with a difficult superpower ally and facing threats of regional escalation.

How Dangerous is Hizballah now?
Interview with Prof. Efraim Inbar and Dr. Yossi Mansharof.

Iran Increases Hamas Funding in Exchange for Intel on Israel Missiles.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Tehran asked Hamas to provide intelligence on the locations of Israeli missile stockpiles in exchange for the funding.

Turkish forces are also present in northern Iraq, where they are engaged in action against the PKK presence in the Kurdish-controlled north.

Based in Lebanon but entrenched in Latin America, Hezbollah helps Iran spread global terrorism.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: The Trump administration is determined to fight the Iranian and Hezbollah presence in South America.

25th anniversary of the Israel-Jordan peace treaty.
Dr. Josh Krasna discusses the state of Israeli-Jordanian relations, the future of the peace treaty, and the role of the Trump administration.

Does Bahrain Expect Returns on Its Now-Public Association With Israel?
Omer Dostri: Israel-Bahrain ties are based on a common front against Iran’s hostile and subversive activities in the Middle East.

US-Iranian brinkmanship.
Prof. Efraim Inbar on US-Iranian brinkmanship.

Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign must not be curtailed before Iran’s leaders truly have no choice but to capitulate to Western demands.

It is a crucial accord, but needs attention and maintenance.

It is complicit in Hizballah’s terrorism and subversion, in Europe and the US.

India’s space program.
WION speaks to Missile Defense expert Dr. Uzi Rubin ahead of India's 2nd Moon Mission.

Outwardly, Russia is loyal to the idea that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the reason for Middle East unrest. This approach raises the bar on Palestinian demands and makes normal life in the region less likely.

With the regional focus elsewhere, violence in Syria grinds on. International backers of the various enclaves have a greater say in the direction of events than do their Syrian clients.

THE QUESTION ISRAEL’S LEADERS ASK EVERY DAY: WILL TOMORROW BE TOO LATE?
General Amidror of JISS: Iran’s strategic plan is to create a deterrence barrier around Israel, stretching from Lebanon to Syria to Iraq to the Gaza Strip, in order to threaten Israel with an overwhelming and devastating strike on its homeland, should Israel attack Iran’s nuclear facilities.

The Trump Plan Partially Revealed.
An interview with Prof. Efraim Inbar.

Hizballah today controls the key nodes of power in Lebanon, while allowing the formal structures of the Lebanese state to exist – for its own benefit.

The US, Europe and Israel can force a modification in Erdoğan's conduct on a wide range of issues, including his duplicity on Iran, support for Hamas in Gaza, subversion in Jerusalem, intervention in Libya, aggression towards Cypriot gas explorations, threats to Kurds of Rojava, and repression at home.

Iran's declaration on uranium enrichment.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof on Kan English News.

Tension between the United States and Iran.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof in an interview to "Strictly Security".

The need to assign American soldiers to fight with Israel might undermine Israel's popularity in the US and constrain its freedom of action.

What can URP’s interim ministers actually do?
Col. Lerman: Smotrich will have little room to maneuver, even in the security cabinet.

Kremlin says Russia-US-Israel meeting 'very important’.
Dr. Eran Lerman, former Deputy NSC head: Meeting is Russian ‘slap’ at Iran.

Why haven’t more embassies moved to Jerusalem?
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Most countries have too many interests in the Arab and Muslim world to make a move that is seen as hostile in those countries, and the benefits are too small.

Even an interim Israeli government can build in Jerusalem, counter the intrusions of foreign agents, and invest in all sectors of Israel’s national capital.

Twenty-five years after the signing of the Jordan-Israel peace treaty, the bilateral relationship is in a challenging phase, but nothing should obscure the crucial benefits strategic and security cooperation affords to both sides, and the centrality of the relations to each side’s national security.

Iranians view Trump as ‘tougher’ than Obama, but will it push them to more extreme actions?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Trump is trying to intimidate Iran to come to the negotiating table.

SHOULD THE MOSSAD BE INVOLVED IN FIGHTING BDS?
General Amidror: Israel must do everything with all means to fight BDS.

Israel’s government must nurture a spirit of unity and national purpose by building a policy consensus as broad as possible. This is necessary both in preparation for likely combat operations against Iran and its proxies, and in order to respond wisely to the American peace plan and to intelligently manage conflict with the Palestinians.

Beyond Elounda, Beersheba, Cairo and Jerusalem.
The emerging informal alliance in the eastern Mediterranean is becoming increasingly significant. Egypt’s role, Erdogan's ambitions, energy resources, joint military exercises and coordinated emergency responses contribute to the alliance.

‘Israel needs to shift from fear to self-confidence and pride’
Former Deputy IDF Chief of Staff Maj. Gen. Yair Golan's next destination is politics, saying the Knesset chaos "only makes me hungrier." Golan explains why Israel should not be afraid to launch a full-fledged invasion of Gaza if necessary.

The Bahrain conundrum: Will the Trump administration succeed in its first phase of Arab-Israeli peacemaking?
David M. Weinberg of JISS: The Trump administration is reversing a long-deleterious global dynamic regarding Israel and the Palestinians, thus transforming the Mideast diplomatic playing field.

Instability in Jerusalem bodes poorly for Trump's peace plan.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Israel's transitional government is unlikely to make any significant decisions on the peace process without a clear mandate from the public.

Reasons they hate us.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Nine reasons antisemitism is rife.

Israel needs to be prepared for potentially dramatic consequences, including rapid deterioration towards confrontation on all Israel’s borders. Resilience and readiness to act can serve to deter provocations by Iran’s proxies. Ultimately, only a credible military threat from Israel will indicate to friend and foe alike that in a showdown, Iran will be forced to back down.

Professor Efraim Inbar on escalation in US-Iran tensions.

Iran is continually expanding its military, economic and political presence in Syria. Bashar al-Assad’s February 25 visit to Iran was an important marker in these efforts. Assad met with Iranian Leader Ali Khamenei and President Hassan Rouhani, who labeled him the “hero of the Arab world.” The presence of Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani and […]

Defense and Security experts from the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security sit down with Israel Hayom and outline their new national security plan for Israel. They explain that while Hamas isn't worth a ground offensive, Israel must contain Hezbollah. And Iran? Iran is the biggest threat.

The new JISS national security plan says avoid risky diplomatic escapades and prepare for war.

National Cohesion must be Top Priority for Next Government.
New JISS national security plan emphasizes preparedness for war and social solidarity.

The generals got it right.
General Yair Golan: The IDF is battle ready but the political echelons and the general staff fear deploying the IDF’s ground forces, even when necessary and justified.

In the remote deserts of western Iraq, Iran’s servants are busily at work preparing a new front against Israel.

Did Trump's Jerusalem Embassy Move Help Peace Prospects?
Trump moved the embassy under the pretense that the Palestinians had to recognize 'a reality' — one which dictates that the city belongs to Israel. Did this move help advance the peace process in the long run? Mitvim Institute Director of Development Gayle Meyers and Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security founder Eran Lerman debate.

Interview with Dr. Eran Lerman on Iran crisis.
With Israelis closely watching developments between the US and Iran, as well as Iran’s actives through its proxies in the Persian Gulf, TIP spoke with Col. in reserves, Dr. Eran Lerman, for his assessment of the situation.

Is it time for the IDF to inflict ‘massive damage’ on Hamas?
Prof. Inbar: The IDF concept of using accurate intelligence for pinpoint airstrikes has proven deficient. A land incursion may be needed to convince Israel’s enemies that we are ready to pay a price in casualties in order to secure the well-being of our citizens.

The notion that Hamas could be incentivised by the injection of funds from Qatar has proven erroneous or deeply problematic.

Jordan’s King Abdullah seeks regional prestige and standing … at Israel’s expense.
Dr. Joshua Krasna: It is difficult to see the benefits of giving an important role on the Temple Mount to the Saudis, a fundamentalist Sunni regime which has actively supported radical Salafi movements in the recent past and whose friendship with Israel is new and, unlike our relationship with Jordan, hardly tested.

Egypt may be beginning to emerge from its self-imposed strategic seclusion.

Gaza Violence Exacerbates Israel-Turkey Rift.
Dr. Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak: At the end of the day, if you are supporting Hamas your relationship with Israel will be problematic.

Will the PA Collapse?
No, says Prof. Efraim Inbar, because it’s good business for Abbas and his family

'Israel, IDF decided to cross threshold not crossed before'
IDF Colonel (Res.) Dr. Eran Lerman tells Arutz Sheva 'Israel is trying to rewrite the rules of the game, with one clear emphasis.'

Why isn’t Iron Dome stopping these deadly rocket attacks?
General Yaakov Amidror: If a rocket is shot at a location less than a few kilometers away, we don’t have enough time to intercept it.

Amidror: Iran Behind the Gaza Escalation.
Why did the Islamic Jihad do this? The answer is again and again and again - Iran.

He has cornered himself into a situation where he has zero credibility and zero leverage on Israel, the US, the international community, and even the Sunni Arab world.

As dysfunctional as the Palestinian national movement has become, it has excelled in perpetuating the pork barrel born in Oslo.

Venezuela has become flash point between Russia and the US. The way in which America responds to Russian conduct in its backyard will influence Russia's international conduct in the future.

What’s the deal with the Gaza Strip?
The Israel Project interviews Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS. He explains why Israel’s policy regarding the Gaza Strip needs to change significantly.

Events in Sudan and Libya suggest that the core dynamic in the Arab world has not changed: authoritarian military regimes and political Islam remain the key players, popular sovereignty remains a distant aspiration

Iran is not likely to target American troops, since Teheran’s strategy is to wait-out the Trump administration.

Regional rivals clash via proxies in Tripoli fight.

New Palestinian government beleaguered by ‘corruption, nepotism and ineptitude’
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The PA continues to subscribe to maximalist unrealistic positions that ensure the continuation of conflict between the two national movements.

The government should act with magnanimity towards the civilian population in Gaza while preparing the IDF for intensive warfare against Hamas.

It is in Israel's interest to solidify the Egyptian role in Gaza, in the context of "conflict management" as a governing policy concept. Egyptian participation in the efforts to stabilize the situation in Gaza serves as an important component in the vital Egypt-Israel relationship. It also helps erode Hamas' pretensions of Jihad.

As ugly as the 2019 campaign may have been, it is simply wrong to portray Israel as a deeply divided nation on these matters.

The Iranian “corridor” is a central project for the mullahs in Iraq and Syria, involving a highway which would connect Tehran with Damascus.

Much ink has been and is being spilt regarding whether or not current developments in Algeria and Sudan – the second and third most populous Arab states after Egypt – constitute the Second Wave of the “Arab Spring”. But what is clear is that the second and succeeding waves of Arab Uprisings will not look the same as that of 2011.

Of annexation and Trump’s peace plan, what’s next on the post-Israeli election agenda?
Prof. Inbar: Annexation of the West Bank or parts of the West Bank has been on the agenda of every Israeli government, including Labor-led governments because [they] want the settlement blocs as part of Israel.

The guaranteed failure of the “deal of the century” is an opportunity for Israel to open the Americans’ eyes to the harsh and complicated reality in our region and lead them to support the strategy of managing the conflict and wait for better times.

Netanyahu’s True Colors? No to Palestinian State, Yes to Annexing Parts of West Bank.
Audio interview with Prof. Efraim Inbar.

Iran to Lease Part of Latakia Port – Reports.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: The rivalry between Tehran and Moscow is becoming “more visible” in post-war Syria.

The Golan Heights is Israel’s best northern defense line, especially since Iranian forces have moved into Syria. US recognition of Israel’s sovereignty on the Golan along with Israel’s military superiority ensure a secure border.

Does Hamas see Israel’s deterrence waning?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Deterrence is a tricky notion. Dr. Eran Lerman: Hamas is irritating us in order to obtain certain limited gains through the negotiating process.

Trump’s landmark Golan decision asserts the law of diminishing returns: Arabs who refuse to make peace with Israel lose rights and assets as time goes forward. Mahmoud Abbas: Take notice.

Experts Divided Over US Decision on Golan Heights.
Dr. Jonathan Spyer: Israel's de facto control of the Golan is not in doubt, and there is no likelihood in the foreseeable future of any serious attempt by any force to change this situation.

US recognition of Israel’s sovereignty in Golan ‘sends a direct message to the Arab world’.
David M. Weinberg of JISS: Trump is saying: The longer you wait to make peace with Israel, the less you’re going to get.

Gaza rocket hits Israeli home injuring seven; Netanyahu cuts short Washington trip.
Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS: “When there was intensive rocket fire on the southern area that borders Gaza, Israel found a workable modus vivendi, involving transfer of Qatari money to Hamas. If Netanyahu now reacts aggressively, then people will say the blood of those in the center of the country is thicker than in the south. If he does not respond, then he’ll be criticized for not doing anything in the face of brazen provocation.”

Political Dynamics Raise Risk for Israel-Hamas Clash.
Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS: “The anti-Hamas demonstrations that indicate a level of frustration and anger not seen before. (The missile fire on Israel) is a familiar tactic to refocus the tension on the real enemy.”

The IDF's response will be harsher than usual, not because Israelis in the center are more valued than those in the periphery but because of the emerging need to show Hamas that it has grossly misjudged.

Rocket From Gaza Hits Israel, Prompting Netanyahu to Curtail U.S. Trip.
Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman of JISS: Hamas is playing with fire.

Israel should leverage its economic power and take advantage of the EU’s inner divisions, but it would not benefit from a divided Europe ruled by economic nationalists and anti-globalists aligned with Russia. To defend its national interests, Israel must develop ties with “rebellious” European governments, but only as a divide-and-rule tactic meant to break the Brussels consensus, not as a bond with forces that threaten to undermine free trade and the Atlantic alliance.

The EU’s insistence on preserving the nuclear agreement with Iran and its persistent efforts to establish a mechanism for evading American trade sanctions are encouraging Iran to escalate its subversion throughout Europe.

The fight to depose Assad is over. The battle over his regime’s boundaries has no end in sight.

American recognition of Israeli sovereignty on the Golan Heights.
Professor Efraim Inbar: ‘Netanyahu will benefit from Trump’s decision - not clear how much, it’s a close race’

Tehran eyes vital Syrian port of Latakia as gateway to Med.
Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Moscow is likely to allow Israel to launch strikes on Iranian targets around Latakia if it uses the port to ship weapons.

Armed opposition groups emerging from the Kurdish, Baloch and Ahvazi Arab minorities have stepped-up attacks on regime assets in Iran. Tehran is responding by acting against these opponents, in Pakistan and Iraq and further afield. But these insurgencies are not capable by themselves of calling the regime’s viability into question, because of their relatively narrow bases of support.

No new beginnings in sight for ravaged Syria.

Israel must administer Area C effectively and with much more authority, whether it wishes to either hold the territory as an effective card for future bargaining or it intends to annex the lands to Israel.

Whatever paradigm for peace is tabled by the Trump administration, no end to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is in sight. Managing the conflict for the long term – a somewhat fuzzy approach in need of constant reevaluation – is the only realistic way to do some good in the Israeli-Palestinian arena.

Netanyahu tells Putin Israel will continue to strike against Iran in Syria.
Dr. Jonathan Spyer: Israel needs Russia to remain on the ground, as an arbiter between Turks, Assad and Iran.

Turkey launches ‘Blue Homeland’ naval drill.
Dr. Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak: The largest naval drill in country's history is a clear message for Cyprus and Greece.

The Rift Inside Iran's Governing Bodies.
Interpretation following the resignation of Foreign Minister Zarif. Dr. Yossi Mansharof in an interview with i24.

The Houthi rebellion in Yemen, with its horrendous consequences for the country's civilian population, is being instigated primarily by Iranian assistance and direction for the rebels, together with Russian growing involvement in the conflict. An end to the fighting therefore depends to a large extent on the willingness of external countries to continue their fomenting of the conflict.

It is inconceivable that the Trump plan will parrot the stale Clinton/Obama parameters of yesteryear or force any “peace paradigm” on Israel.

Any government elected in Israel will undoubtedly agree to discuss the plan with the Americans.

The attempted resignation of Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif didn't come as a complete surprise. It reflects the utter supremacy of the Revolutionary Guard in the Iranian political sphere.

Minister Yisrael Katz should restore and reinvigorate the Israeli foreign service. Israel’s many recent diplomatic breakthroughs require systemic and sustained follow-up by a strong and committed cadre of professionals.

Israeli generals, diplomats address ability to deter Iran’s ‘war with Israel’
General Amidror: “We don’t expect anyone to fight for Israel. Israel will defend itself, by itself.”

Israeli Offset to PA Terror Wages.
Dr. Eran Lerman debates Dimitri Delaney, a member of the Fatah Council, regarding the freezing of PA funds by Israel.

The Iraqi Shi'ite militias form a single, numerous and increasingly able component of the military and paramilitary assets available to Iran in its efforts. They substantially increase the scope for Iranian disruption in the region, and may significantly increase Iranian capabilities in the event of a war on Israel’s northern front

Assaults on Israeli sovereignty must be met by an Israeli counter-assault.

Arab countries are re-normalizing their relations with the Assad regime, seeking to balance the strong Iranian and Turkish influences in Syria and to achieve some degree of influence in a new Syrian political-strategic structure. This further cements a Russian-oriented strategic architecture in the region. In the long term, this could lead to tensions between conservative Arab states and Israel, if Israel targets the Syrian military and government in the campaign against Iran, or if Israel continues to promote diplomatic recognition of its Golan annexation.

The Iranian media claimed that millions filled the streets on the 40th anniversary of the Iranian revolution. The opposition, however says that fewer people participated. Iran's nuclear program will not protect the regime against the people's antipathy.

A different way of dividing the city.
A new Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security report lifts the lid on Palestinian activity that aims to undermine Israeli authority in east Jerusalem, and effectively turn its Arab residents into "citizens" of Ramallah rather than Israel.

Israel has not fully deterred Iranian aggression in Syria.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: Iran still remains determined to open a second front against Israel in Syria.

News Analysis: Israel sees Lebanese new gov't formation with caution.
An interview with Yossi Mansharof on the elections in Lebanon and the integration of Hezbollah.

Experts see Israel’s support for Venezuela’s Guaidó as a ‘win-win’.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: “It would have been inconceivable for Israel not to join the voices of free countries [since] Guaidó has been recognized by the United States, Canada and most Latin American democracies.”

One way Iran’s efforts are taking place are below the official Syrian state structures – in the arming and sponsoring of Iran-controlled paramilitary formations on Syria soil.

Foreign actors have stepped-up their subversion of Israeli sovereignty in eastern Jerusalem. This includes covert and overt activities, both legal and illegal, ideological and concrete, in the civilian and security spheres. In response, the Israeli government must devise an integrated, inter-ministerial approach to this challenge; prevent illegal activities, especially illegal foreign financing; revise and rigorously implement the law which bars the Palestinian Authority from governmental activity in Jerusalem; and provide enhanced and accessible municipal services to Jerusalemite Arabs, instead of the foreign actors.

What’s in a “Wall”? In Israel, a mix of structures, technology, policy, and cross-border cooperation.
Prof. Inbar: What’s important are actions beyond the fence, combined with intelligence gathering.

Successors Line Up As Netanyahu’s Predicaments Worsen.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: As things stand today, no parties outside of Likud are likely to be able to form a coalition government.

Lebanon has neither the desire nor the ability to address Hezbollah’s threat to its sovereignty. The likelihood of Lebanon suffering severe damage in a war against Israel does not change this situation.

Russia seeks to be more involved in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict by presenting it as critical to the stability of the whole Middle East. But the legitimacy that it accords to Hamas rules out deeper Russian involvement from Israel’s point of view.

Israel Confirms Attacks on Iranian Targets in Syria.
Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror :“If you want to make clear to the other side that you are determined to prevent something, either you escalate the operation, or you say in public I’m doing it, meaning I’m ready to take the risk”.

'Israel will continue to react to military entrenchment by Iran'
Israel has carried out airstrikes on Iranian targets in the vicinity of the Syrian capital Damascus. The Israeli Defense Forces have confirmed the military operation in an tweet earlier this morning. Radio Sputnik discussed the development with Efraim Inbar, president of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategic Studies.

General Amidror: US withdrawal from Syria is a red flagץ
Former NSA warns that US pullout from Syria endangers Kurds, empowers Turkey, and sends troubling message to American allies.

The projected gas pipeline between Israel, Cyprus, Greece and Italy confirms that Israel's regional partnership has shifted from Turkey to Greece and that a new energy hub is emerging in the eastern Mediterranean. Yet this welcome geopolitical change has many opponents. Israel will need to act proactively and assess energy-related power struggles within the EU in order to actualize the pipeline.

How critical are American boots on the ground in Syria for Israel?
General Amidror: “Declaring Israeli sovereignty over the Golan won’t help us in acting against the Iranians, but it won’t stop us from acting against the Iranians.”

Amidror headlines launch of GPO Café.
“The Iranians know that Israel has red lines in Syria and on the Golan Heights, and we are very determined.”

Is the time ripe for Israel to push for recognition of the Golan Heights?
Prof. Efraim Inbar: I am not sure we should spend much political capital on this issue. After all, the Golan is in our hands since ’67, more years than the Syrians ruled the area. Who can change this strategically important fact?

So in Israel's election, who are the Russians for?
Col. (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman: Nobody should fall off their chair at the thought of a foreign country trying to influence another country’s elections. It happens all the time.

A Challenge to Israeli National Security Policy.
The construction of the security fence around Jerusalem in 2005 created a civilian, sovereignty, and security challenge in the form of "no man's land" Arab neighborhoods located within Jerusalem but outside the security fence. No law and order obtains in these areas, and they bases of terrorist activity. This paper proposes establishing a joint administration of the IDF, Israel Police, Jerusalem municipality and the national government to increase governance and security in these neighborhoods, involving investment in education, culture, welfare and employment.

Clear understandings between the political and military echelons are essential in employment of military force and readiness for the next war.

Israel’s successful response to the underground threat has significantly limited the strategic abilities of its enemies, just as Israel has severely hampered the efficiency and purposefulness of rocket launches by terrorist organizations. This affords Israel room to maneuver if and when it decides to launch a wide-scale military operation in the Gaza Strip or Lebanon.

The IDF’s Anti-Tunnel Operation is Not about Tunnels.
General Amidror: It is important to build a legitimacy case against Hezbollah as a criminal terror organization hiding behind and under [literally] civilians, exploiting its citizens as human shields.

The Folly of Supporting Lebanon’s Military.
Yossi Mansharof: Washington must acknowledge that the Lebanese Armed Forces and Hezbollah are allies.

Israel and Lebanon: Dangerous Liaisons.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Relations between Israel and its northern neighbor have become dangerously explosive.

Iran is taking advantage of the crises created by ISIS and the Arab Spring to advance its land route project from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean Sea. The American withdrawal from Syria will remove one of the obstacles that stand in Iran’s path, yet Israel has demonstrated its determination to prevent the establishment of this route.

CAN HAMAS ROCKETS THREATEN BEN-GURION AIRPORT FLIGHTS?
Uzi Rubin: Even if Hamas’s chances of hitting an aircraft or the airport are low, they cannot just be summarily dismissed.

Iran: Back in Focus.
A report on the JISS conference about confronting Iran.

The Shi'ite militia threat isn't a mere thought exercise about a worst-case scenario. Iranian-controlled Popular Mobilization Forces leaders have already threatened Israel only miles from Israeli homes.

PM Netanyahu Planning Unprecedented Trip to Brazil for Bolsonaro Inauguration.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: It is important to have Brazil as an ally and to fight against Iran and its proxy Hizbullah’s influence in that region.

Like Obama, Trump is eroding American credibility.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: The US pullout from Syria is both a strategic and a moral mistake.

Israel will need to increase the intensity of its operations against the Iranians. US withdrawal from the arena is a good opportunity for Israel to update its strategy in Syria.

The possibility that Iran and Turkey will be emboldened by the American decision, is worrisome. The main counter to that will be robust deterrence from Israel, whose maintenance may increase the likeliness of escalation in Syria and Lebanon, and even more resort to the restraining hand of Russia.

The fitting Israeli response is to demonstrate resilience, and to declare that despite the terror and the pain we will remain in the land of our forefathers.

Military, diplomatic and economic pressures can be brought to bear to preserve SDF and Kurdish autonomy in northeastern Syria, and to deter Turkey and Iran from conquering these areas.

Trump Syria pullout ‘blow’ to Tel Aviv: Israeli experts.
Dr. Eran Lerman: The move will make anyone who thinks of a coalition with the U.S. in the future move away from the idea.

Will Saudi Arabia establish full diplomatic ties with Israel?
Dr. Joshua Krasna: I don’t think it’s likely we will see formal diplomatic relations with Saudi Arabia, or indeed with any of the Gulf Arab states, at any time in the near future.

Trump’s hurried exit from Syria, under pressure from a Turkish threat, will be interpreted by all sides as a strategic defeat, an abandonment and a debacle.

Some hard-left Jews are out to sabotage the Birthright program. They are cutting away the limb – love for, and identification with, Israel – upon which all pro-Israel Jewish community activity must be based.

For analytical as well as practical and even political reasons, the time has come to re-define Israel’s place in the world in terms of belonging to the “eastern Mediterranean” region, not the “Middle East.”

Iran, Turkey, Russia and other bad actors threaten Western and Israeli security in this strategic zone.

Israel should pay close attention to the widening rift between two of its largest trading partners. Israel needs to clarify the "rules of the road" with the US and establish rigorous foreign investment screening mechanisms.

Israel's Netanyahu Embraces European Leaders With Controversial Views On Holocaust.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: No country in the world would sacrifice its national interest for the sake of moral values. Expecting Israel (and only Israel) to do so is absurd.

It is highly unlikely that Iran will agree to any limitation on its missile programs, despite Trump administration pressures. For Iran's leadership, to concede on missiles is to concede on the regime’s global ambitions.

Bricks In The 'Wall': Israel as a Test-Case for President Trump's Proposed Border Measures.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: The West Bank security fence is not a fool-proof system, but what's important are Israeli actions beyond the fence combined with intelligence gathering to thwart terrorism and other threats.

Internal Palestinian politics play big role in rising tension with Israel.
Prof. Efraim Inbar: It is too soon to call this an escalation.

Should a large operation inside Lebanon be considered after Hezbollah's tunnels are successfully neutralized?

Official: Israel must be careful in its relations with Gulf states.

Turkey finds itself at a historic junction where it must decide whether to proceed alone by challenging Israel, Egypt, Greece, and Cyprus – or whether to embrace regional cooperation.

Italy’s far-right minister visits Israel, drawing criticism.
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: Israel’s embrace of Salvini and “rebellious European governments” allows it to gain leverage over Western European powers, which have traditionally sympathized with the Palestinians.

The IDF under newly appointed chief of staff.
Prof. Efraim Inbar comments on the most urgent tasks facing the incoming chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces, Major General Aviv Kochavi.

Former IDF Deputy Chief: Israel Should Be Wary Of Gulf States.
Israeli, Turkish, and other leaders discuss regional cooperation in Eastern Mediterranean, warn of Iranian ambitions.

EX-IDF DEPUTY CHIEF: BEWARE OF GULF STATES, THEIR VALUES ARE DIFFERENT THAN OURS .
Yair Golan says Israel should solidify control of Golan Heights, deal more closely with Kurds.

It is necessary for Israel’s political and military leaders to readjust their conceptual framework concerning deterrence, and to engage the public in an open and effective dialogue on the deterrence equations. Also needed is a more specific and accurate capacity to strike fear into Hamas leadership by signaling both willingness and ability to destroy the assets that they value most.

Despite the fascist roots of Matteo Salvini's "Liga" party, upgrading relations with the current Italian government serves the national interest because it shall help Israel export it's natural gas to Europe as well as break the European consensus on Iran and on Jerusalem's status.

Israel’s security requirements on other fronts, require containment of the conflict on the southern front, while continuing to build the western Negev notwithstanding Hamas’ arson attempts.

Israel Moves to Seal Hezbollah Tunnels at Lebanon Border.
General Amidror: Now the ball is in the Hezbollah court. They can react – and the reaction to their reaction might be devastating.

IRAN'S LEBANESE CONTROL DEMANDS REEVALUATION OF WEST'S SUPPORT FOR BEIRUT.
General Amidror: Hezbollah’s bases will have to be destroyed by the Israeli air force, and there is no tactical way to do so without massive amounts of damage.

Syrian regime closes accounts with West and Israel-linked rebels, as Iran builds and expands its presence in the area.

Advice for Moshe Leon, the incoming Mayor of Jerusalem: Exercise maximum sovereignty and maximal fairness, while seeking to strengthen the unity of Jerusalem; implement Government Decision 3790 to invest NIS 2.1 billion in Arab residents of eastern Jerusalem; advance plans for Jewish and Arab building beyond the 1967 lines in one package; and make higher education and high-quality employment for eastern Jerusalem residents a priority.

Natural gas has turned Greece from a rival to an ally just as relations between Israel and Turkey started deteriorating.

Promoting Israeli ties with African countries should be made a diplomatic priority, as this investment can and will yield ‎economic and political dividends for Israel in the global arena. ‎

Why is murder by Iran, but not Saudi Arabia, permissible?
Dr. Emmanuel Navon: While it is outrageous for President Trump to let Saudi Arabia get away with murder, the atomic agreement was also indefensible. At the end of the day this is about realpolitik.

Amid Tensions Over Peace Treaty, Jordan Requests More Water From Israel.
Dr. Eran lerman: Amman’s suspension of a land lease may be a bargaining chip to extract more water from Jerusalem.

Prime Minister Netanyahu’s visit to Oman, the first overt visit in over twenty years by an Israeli prime minister to an Arab country that does not maintain diplomatic relations with Israel, is extremely significant. However, formal diplomatic relations between Israel and Arab states will not develop without an Israeli-Palestinian agreement. While it may view positively the steps of other Gulf states to increase the visibility of their ties with Israel and it may even encourage them, Saudi Arabia itself will not formal ties with Israel in the foreseeable future either.

The historic renewal of Chad-Israel ties will benefit both nations and shows that PM Benjamin Netanyahu's foreign policy is effective.

Israel's strategy toward China doesn't conflict with American interests; rather, it serves and reinforces them. Partnering with Beijing can help stabilize the Middle East. Partnering with Asian nations threatened by Beijing can help build a counterbalance to Chinese power.

Hezbollah’s leadership has come to realize that harsher US sanctions pose a serious threat to the revolutionary regime in Tehran. It will become increasingly difficult for the regime to finance the full spectrum of its revolutionary ambitions. Hezbollah has therefore had to focus on securing its own sources of funding and providing employment for its members and followers through ever-deeper engagement in Lebanon’s economic and financial spheres of activity.

Liberman’s exit, and how Israel’s chips may fall.
Dr. Eran Lerman: Liberman’s views contradicted Netanyahu’s vision and that of the security establishment.

How Hamas Brought Israel to the Brink of Election Chaos.
Dr. Eran Lerman: Lieberman was isolated by the rest of Netanyahu’s security cabinet, which supported the ceasefire.

Is the situation with Gaza ‘the problem from hell?’
Prof. Efraim Inbar: We cannot trust Hamas to keep the calm. Only when Hamas is afraid of IDF retaliation, which has yet to come, will calm prevail. General Amidror: A war in Gaza will only benefit PA leader Mahmoud Abbas and Iran. And we don’t want to give Iran any gifts.

The challenge now is how to make it clear to the Hamas leadership that it should not believe is own supercilious words.

The Greek-Cypriot-Egyptian summit held last month in Crete focused on energy connectivity and Turkish threats, but it also paid lip service to Egyptian pro-Palestinian messages, which is problematic.

The killing of prominent Arab tribal leader Sheikh Bashir Faisal al-Huwaidi has serious implications for the US and Kurdish administered part of Syria, in which Raqqa is located. That administration of Syria has many enemies and remains fragile.

Only a crushing and devastating blow to Hamas will pave the way for a truce that would not be a victory for the terrorists.

INSS vs. JISS: Worthy Intellectual Battles.
Two rival think tanks with deep differences in approach to security matters.

Sanctions could drive a wedge between Iranians who focus inwards and hardliners committed to Iran’s bid for regional dominance. It is clearly in the interest of those who seek to bring about a drastic change in Iranian behavior to drive this wedge deeper by supporting the sanctions and raising the costs of revolutionary adventurism.

Despite the desire of Arabs in eastern Jerusalem for greater integration in Israeli life, their fear of the Palestinian Authority and its agents kept them away from the polls in October. And while seeking pragmatic and constructive integration in Jerusalem, they still adhere to the Palestinian side of the identity axis. Once again, 38% of the capital city's residents remain outside its political arena.

The Lebanese army should be treated as a hostile entity, its camouflage should be stripped away, and the American administration should be supplied with conclusive evidence of the multi-faceted cooperation between it and Hezbollah.

A Fragile Russian-Turkish Cease-fire In Syria’s Idlib.
Dr. Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak of JISS: Turkey is eager to exclude Syria from negotiations because it does not recognize the government of al-Assad and does not want to grant it legitimacy by engaging in talks.

The assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi at the Saudi Arabian Consulate in Istanbul is a fascinating story with potentially far-reaching regional and global implications. How will it affect Israel?

The Saudi Crown Prince isn’t a democrat or a strategic savior, but don’t give the evil leaders of Turkey and Iran a victory by weakening US-Saudi ties.

Defeating Islamist totalitarianism requires a three-pronged approach: Hard power (destroying Salafi Jihadist forces, preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, and undercutting avid supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood such as Turkey and Qatar); Social and economic leverage; Conduct of an aggressive war of ideas that would de-legitimize the Islamists in Islamic terms. Israel can play a discreet role by extending its hand to moderate Muslims, while taking a firm stance against the totalitarian perversion of Islam.

Amidst violent events, it is easy to be tempted to seek decisive "solutions" to the Palestinian problem(s) – in both the PA areas and in Gaza – through drastic military action, or through equally dramatic concessions. But given the lessons of recent history, as well as the unpredictable nature of regional events, it makes sense to adhere to "conflict management" and piecemeal arrangements. This is not as a cowardly choice by hapless political and military leaders, but as a rational choice in irrational circumstances; even more so when the Iranian challenge looms larger than ever on Israel's immediate horizons. Patience has its own merits.

In the past decade, relations between Israel and China have become closer, following a decision in Jerusalem to diversify and expand Israel's ties with emerging powers and countries that do not belong to the European Union and are less identified with the American coalition. The visit to Israel by China's vice president is evidence of the warming of relations between the two countries.

In recent years there has been much talk in Israel and the US about the “moderate/pragmatic Sunni camp” as a potential regional ally for dealing with Iran and even for pursuing a “creative” solution to the Palestinian issue. However, this “camp” is not really a unified player, but more an expression of Saudi and Emirati aspirations for hegemony. There is also a lack of identity of interests and agendas between these states and Egypt and Jordan, which have long been important strategic partners of Israel. Although Israel should pursue any opportunity to strengthen ties with Arab and Muslim states, it should not rely on an incoherent  “bloc” headed by an unstable and problematic leadership, even if doing so would correspond with the interests of the US Administration.

Israeli and Jordanian experts downplay significance of peace-treaty changes.
Eran Lerman and Joshua Krasna of JISS pour cold water on all the hype and the danger to Israel-Jordan ties.

Rare event showcases potential of Israeli-Palestinian business cooperation.
David Weinberg of JISS: The Trump administration is making a contribution to realistic peace discourse.