Violence in Syria shakes Mideast power alignments
25/07/2025
אין תגובות
Prof. Hillel Frisch is quoted in the article
ארכיון מאמרים
פרופסור הלל פריש
סה״כ 30 מאמרים בעברית
פרופסור הלל פריש הוא עמית בכיר במכון. הוא פרופסור אמריטוס ממחלקות למדע המדינה ולימודי המזרח התיכון באוניברסיטת בר-אילן. הוא פרסם מספר ספרים, כולל הספירה לאחור לקראת מדינה: הקמת מדינה פלסטינית בגדה המערבית ובעזה, צבא הפלסטיני: בין מיליציות לצבאות, ו-ביטחון ישראל ואזרחיה הערבים (כולם באנגלית).
Prof. Hillel Frisch is quoted in the article
An article by Prof. Hillel Frisch reprinted in JNS
Moving on to the final stage of the hostage agreement will validate the path of jihad among Palestinians and the wider Muslim world, replenish Hamas’s leadership structure, and impose significant long-term military and economic costs on Israel.
Hamas is exploiting the deal to cement its rule over Gaza and derail the Trump plan
Analysis of Google searches shows Israel has greater freedom of action than it may imagine in view of the focus on the potential regional ramifications of the conflict between Israel and Iran over the Palestinians and Gaza.
An analysis of Hezbollah casualties indicates that it relies on recruitment from the Shiite periphery and faces difficulty recruiting fighters from Dahiya and Greater Beirut, where most of the Shiite population resides. Therefore, Israel must crush the periphery and cause further migration to the Beirut area.
U.S. officials and former IDF commanders argue that technological measures could replace the need for an IDF presence along the Gaza-Egyptian border to prevent future arms smuggling by Hamas. However, past experiences, including the events of October 7, clearly demonstrate the fallacy of this claim.
Since 2002, we have seen repeatedly in Judea and Samaria, and again in 2005 with the disengagement from Gaza how going on the offense pays off, while containment in the hope of stability results in massive losses in lives and resources to the point of threatening Israel’s very existence. A comparison of eight months of war in the north and the south have hammered home this lesson once again.
Biden’s veto is a threat to Western security and the Arab states
President Biden's veto on an Israeli victory over Hamas severely undermines his two-state strategy based on the creation of an Israeli-Arab state alliance against Iran and its proxies. An Israeli defeat and a Hamas victory will drive Saudi Arabia and Egypt to ally with Iran with disastrous political and humanitarian consequences.
Paradoxically, the more Israel pummeled Gaza, the vaster and deeper Hamas' tunneling network became, thanks to cement, the paste that makes concrete possible and which is siphoned from civilian reconstruction. Israel must defeat Hamas and ensure that cement is used to enhance human welfare rather than terrorism.
The United States should desist from insisting that the end game of Israel’s war against Hamas focus on Gaza's future. Failure to support Israel in dealing with Iran and its proxies as its end game might mean the difference between a stable Middle East led by US allies or an Iran-controlled region embedded in the competing axis.
