A Policy-Oriented Think Tank Addressing Foreign Policy and National Security Issues for a Safe Israel

Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg

Expert on Iran

Maj. (res.) in the IDF Military Intelligence research department. Holds degrees in Middle East and Islamic studies, and Arab language and literature, from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. Doctoral student in Iranian history at Tel Aviv University.

Banner of Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei in Tehran TEHRAN, IRAN - MARCH 14: A view of a banner featuring Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and senior commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as the attacks by the United States and Israel against Iran continue on March 14, 2026. Fatemeh Bahrami Anadolu Tehran Iran. Editorial use only. Please get in touch for any other usage. Copyright: x2026xAnadoluxFatemehxBahramix

Who Calls the Shots in Iran?

Power in Tehran now rests with the IRGC, as an incapacitated Mojtaba Khamenei and a leadership forced into hiding leave the regime struggling to function

A member of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) holds an AK-45 rifle and stands guard outside a police facility that is destroyed during a U.S.-Israeli military campaign in Tehran, Iran, on March 4, 2026.

Iran’s Mosaic Defense Faces Its Real Test

Shaped by the lessons of Iraq’s 2003 collapse, Tehran’s decentralized doctrine has kept the regime afloat after decapitation—but at the cost of coherence, control, and the ability to de-escalate

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