Alexander Grinberg

Expert on Iran

Email: Agrinberg@jiss.org.il

Capt. (res.) in the IDF Military Intelligence research department. Holds degrees in Middle East and Islamic studies, and Arab language and literature, from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. Doctoral student in Iranian history at Tel Aviv University.

Scholarship

The Ukraine War and Iran’s Strategy

The IRGC officers observe Ukraine's inability to inflict damage behind Russian lines. According to an IRGC official news release, the war in Ukraine highlights the significance of missiles for Iran because they can create what is referred to as a "balance of terror" and force the enemy to the negotiating table. The military purpose of the IRGC's nuclear program is no longer a secret. They cite Ukraine's decision to give up its nuclear weapons under US supervision as evidence that Iran must maintain its nuclear deterrent.

Mr. Alexander Grinberg

Scholarship 20.08.2022

Iran

Iranian Strategy During Ra’isi’s Presidency

Ra’isi is an absolute ideological and psychological clone of Khamenei.

Mr. Alexander Grinberg

Scholarship 12.08.2021

Iran

Policy Papers

Tehran’s Armenian weapons supply route

Armenia is one of several routes used by Iran to smuggle arms to its regional proxies and clients. It also manufactures its own versions of Russian weapons that are used only by these groups and provides them with the knowledge to locally manufacture Iranian arms.

Mr. Alexander Grinberg

Policy Papers 20.02.2024

Iran

Making Tehran pay the price for October 7

High-ranking Iranian officials praised Hamas’ brutal massacre of Israeli civilians, thereby demonstrating their unwarranted support for crimes against humanity. Iran funds and supports the murder of Israeli and Jewish civilians and endorses antisemitic ideology. If the regime is not made to pay a price, Iran will have no reason to stop its subversive aggression.

Mr. Alexander Grinberg

COMMENTS ON THE WAR IN GAZA Policy Papers 12.11.2023

Iran’s proxy war against Azerbaijan

Whereas Iran’s destabilizing activities in the Middle East are well known, “peripheral” Tehran activities are coming under the radar. One such direction of Iranian subversion is the Caucasus, Iran’s conflict with the Republic of Azerbaijan. Numerous Iranian media outlets have recently evoked the possibility of a military escalation between Baku and Tehran. The Iranian regime accuses Azerbaijan of all possible manipulations and evil doings, including dispatching ISIS and al-Qaeda Sunni terrorists to fight Iran. The main accusation, however, is of Baku’s collision with Israel (“the Zionist regime,” to quote Iranian officialdom). This article reviews the anti-Azeri actions taken by Iran.

Mr. Alexander Grinberg

Policy Papers 26.06.2023

Iran

Russian President Vladimir Putin watches the launching of the nuclear-powered icebreakers Ural and Yakutia via video link from the presidential residence of Novo-Ogaryovo, November 22, 2022 in Moscow, Russia.

How to respond to nuclear blackmail

Reliable deterrence is a vital interest of the West, and developing a strategy for reliable deterrence without escalation is also essential. The West could prevent escalation if it manages it carefully and with determination and credibility.