Expert on Iran
Maj. (res.) in the IDF Military Intelligence research department. Holds degrees in Middle East and Islamic studies, and Arab language and literature, from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. Doctoral student in Iranian history at Tel Aviv University.
After Washington imposed an aviation blockade of Iran, regional governments largely chose access to the American financial system over the risk of Iranian retaliation, with Azerbaijan realigning and Armenia emerging as the principal exception
The United States blockade, secondary sanctions, and Iran’s growing commercial isolation are unlikely to bring down the Islamic Republic in the near term. But by depriving Tehran of oil revenue, imports, and foreign exchange, they could increasingly constrain its ability to rebuild its military, nuclear, and proxy capabilities
War damage and import bottlenecks have intensified a long-standing gasoline imbalance, while cheap fuel continues to drive overconsumption and smuggling. Tehran’s efforts to fix the system are constrained by the political risks of subsidy reform
The Jerusalem Post, 23.08.2026 Click here to read the article
As Tehran’s power in the Persian Gulf erodes, so does its ability to shape the balance farther north. Unresolved maritime claims, Azerbaijan’s growing influence, and mounting economic and envi-ronmental pressures are narrowing Iran’s options in the Caspian basin.
Baku’s rise as a venue for unofficial European-Russian diplomacy underscores Azerbaijan’s growing regional leverage, Berlin’s need for backchannels to Moscow, and Iran’s anxiety over the changing balance of power in the South Caucasus
The decision neither restrains Turkey nor advances Armenian interests; it weakens Israel’s regional position and rewards Iran and Russia. It should be rescinded
CNN’s reporting on alleged Israeli operations in Azerbaijan shows how Iran uses Western accounts to push its strategic narratives
Iranian-linked seminaries, charities, media outlets, and clerical networks in Georgia should be understood as part of Tehran’s wider regional influence strategy
Tehran is presenting the memorandum as a victory, but the emerging picture points to a regime seeking a tactical pause after severe military, economic, and nuclear setbacks
A critical assessment of the Iranian regular army’s wartime performance, institutional cohesion, regime loyalty, and prospects in a renewed conflict
Total of 98 articles in English
45 articles
After Washington imposed an aviation blockade of Iran, regional governments largely chose access to the American financial system over the risk of…
The United States blockade, secondary sanctions, and Iran’s growing commercial isolation are unlikely to bring down the Islamic Republic in the near…
War damage and import bottlenecks have intensified a long-standing gasoline imbalance, while cheap fuel continues to drive overconsumption and smuggling. Tehran’s efforts…
As Tehran’s power in the Persian Gulf erodes, so does its ability to shape the balance farther north. Unresolved maritime claims, Azerbaijan’s…
Baku’s rise as a venue for unofficial European-Russian diplomacy underscores Azerbaijan’s growing regional leverage, Berlin’s need for backchannels to Moscow, and Iran’s…
The decision neither restrains Turkey nor advances Armenian interests; it weakens Israel’s regional position and rewards Iran and Russia. It should be…
CNN’s reporting on alleged Israeli operations in Azerbaijan shows how Iran uses Western accounts to push its strategic narratives
Iranian-linked seminaries, charities, media outlets, and clerical networks in Georgia should be understood as part of Tehran’s wider regional influence strategy
Tehran is presenting the memorandum as a victory, but the emerging picture points to a regime seeking a tactical pause after severe…
A critical assessment of the Iranian regular army’s wartime performance, institutional cohesion, regime loyalty, and prospects in a renewed conflict
Tehran's alarm over the OTS Summit in Turkistan may overstate the danger of a “Turkish NATO,” but it correctly identifies a more…
Hyperinflation, war damage, sanctions, and succession turmoil have left the Islamic Republic with little capacity to restore or rebuild its economy and…
From Stockholm to Baku, Iran's overseas terrorism doctrine no longer relies solely on Shiite proxies. Criminal gangs, invented groups who claim responsibility…
Iran’s ruling military elite can still suppress dissent, but it cannot easily rebuild its lost capabilities or negotiate its way out of…
Iran’s weakening has opened a strategic window: Central Asia is diversifying away from Tehran, strengthening alternative corridors, and creating new opportunities and…
With the war with Iran dominating global attention, Armenia faces mounting pressure from Moscow and Tehran to derail a U.S.-backed transit project…
Power in Tehran now rests with the IRGC, as an incapacitated Mojtaba Khamenei and a leadership forced into hiding leave the regime…
Shaped by the lessons of Iraq’s 2003 collapse, Tehran’s decentralized doctrine has kept the regime afloat after decapitation—but at the cost of…
The venue shift in U.S.–Iran talks reveals deeper tensions over the Zangezur Corridor, regional influence, and intelligence mistrust
Turkey’s stance on Iran’s upheaval is shaped by entrenched fears of Israeli hegemony, the empowerment of Kurdish separatism, and a destabilizing influx…
Faced with Armenia’s westward realignment and growing U.S. involvement, Tehran has replaced an IRGC-affiliated ambassador with a seasoned diplomat, reflecting a shift…
How Economic Unaccountability Is Driving a New Phase of Protest
The decision highlights the Accords’ evolving role as a U.S.-led geopolitical instrument—and Astana’s calculated effort to balance relations with Washington, Moscow, and…
Yerevan’s Outreach to Israel and Its Effort to Pursue the Peace Process with Azerbaijan and Move Closer to the West Expose the…
A new French investigation exposes Tehran’s covert networks—spanning intelligence operations, campus recruitment, and criminal proxies—designed to destabilize the Republic from within
How the same Quds Force network that targets dissidents and Jewish communities in Europe also recruits, trains, and deploys proxies across the…
The convictions and release of two French nationals highlight Tehran’s long-standing strategy of using foreign citizens to extract concessions from Western democracies
Facing inflation, falling oil revenues, and social unrest, Tehran is likely to scale back costly military ventures while investing in subversive influence…
Tehran’s state media portrays Azerbaijan’s hosting of the Conference of European Rabbis as a “Zion-ist plot,” blending propaganda, antisemitism, and geopolitical rivalry…
The Council reflects political maneuvering rather than genuine reform and fails to address core vulnerabilities
Part I: Iran Grins and Bears It * A Historical Win for American Diplomacy American diplomacy scored a historical achievement on August…
Tehran’s tactical adaptation is matched by strategic rigidity, preserving its ‘unity of fronts’ doctrine despite battlefield setbacks
Tehran’s aggressive propaganda against Azerbaijan as a tool of domestic politics
With its strategic arsenal crippled, Iran intensifies its information war—targeting Azerbaijan, manipulating Armenian media, and seeking to inflame the South Caucasus
Hezbollah’s growing presence in Africa, bolstered by Iranian support, poses a significant security threat not only to Israel but also to Western…
The Islamic Republic employs Shia proxies in Azerbaijan and the Church in Armenia to further its geostrategic interests in the region and…
Armenia is one of several routes used by Iran to smuggle arms to its regional proxies and clients. It also manufactures its…
High-ranking Iranian officials praised Hamas’ brutal massacre of Israeli civilians, thereby demonstrating their unwarranted support for crimes against humanity. Iran funds and…
Whereas Iran’s destabilizing activities in the Middle East are well known, “peripheral” Tehran activities are coming under the radar. One such direction…
Reliable deterrence is a vital interest of the West, and developing a strategy for reliable deterrence without escalation is also essential. The…
The IRGC officers observe Ukraine's inability to inflict damage behind Russian lines. According to an IRGC official news release, the war in…
Iran uses uranium enrichment as leverage on the EU and US to get concessions.
Ra’isi is an absolute ideological and psychological clone of Khamenei.
Sanctions relief, nothing else. Iran has no intention of forsaking its nuclear and missile programs nor its proxy wars across the region.
Giving Iran unearned incentives in advance of negotiations only will bring about more Iranian provocation.
8 articles
Watch the recording of the JISS webinar that took place August 27, 2026.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UOpT8UtjfY0
In this JISS podcast, I sat down with Maj. (Res.) Alexander Grinberg, former IDF Military Intelligence Research Department officer and Iran expert.
Watch the recording of the webinar that took place March 4, 2026.
Watch the recording of the JISS webinar that took place March 5, 2026
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O8qttNeuUSY
In the latest podcast, I sat down with Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg, an expert on Iran and former member of IDF Military…
Watch the recording of the webinar that took place July 9, 2025
45 articles
The Jerusalem Post, 23.08.2026 Click here to read the article
JNS, 15.07.2026 Click here to read the article
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg is quoted in the article
Interview with Maj. (res.) Alex Grinberg
Interview with Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg is quoted in the article
Maj. (res.) Alex Grinberg is quoted in the article
Radio Sefarad (in Spanish), 22.05.2026 Click here to listen
Interview with Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg
Interview with Maj. (res.) Alex Grinberg
La Razón (in Spanish), 02.05.2026 Click here to read the article
BBC Persian, 19.04.2026 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mmja4jGCs7k
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg is quoted in the article
Maj. (res.) Alex Grinberg is quoted in the article
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg interview on Cope radio (Spain)
DNews Argentina, 18.03.2026 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VpT-MRIWEr4
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg interview on Croatian Television
24h, RTVE Spain (in Spanish), 14.03.2026 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ryM_ro_Doo
La Razon (in Spanish), 13.03.2026 Click here to read the article
An interview with Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg
GB News, 05.03.2026 https://twitter.com/i/status/2029490831053201491
An interview with Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg
Interview with Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg
The Jewish Tribune (in French), 26.12.2025 Click here to read the article
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg is quoted on Iran International
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg is quoted in the article
ILTV, 10.11.2025 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYqkJ8x7Ivg
An interview with Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg
Maj. (res.) Alexander Grinberg is quoted in the article
Alex Grinberg interview for Radio Judaica (in French)
Alexander Grinberg Interview for i24News
Mosaïque, 23.06.2025 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=25rulMFgZAA
i24 News, 28.05.2025 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djEh8E88TqA
HAMAS. The path of terrorists. How the organisation became No 1 threat to Israel
Grim prospects if Israel launches ground assault on Gaza
Grim prospects if Israel launches ground assault on Gaza
Russia-Iran drone deal is about money, not the West, Israel – analysis
The lessons Iran has learned from the Russia-Ukraine war
Guerre en Ukraine : Tunnels ou parkings sous-terrain, dernières poches de vie et de résistance
GUERRE EN UKRAINE: CINQ OBJECTIFS POSSIBLES POUR MOSCOU
Inside the Azovstal steelworks: The sprawling underground city standing between Vladimir Putin and the fall of Mariupol
