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Home / Policy Papers / Iran

Iran

No Agreement is Better than Another Bad Agreement with Iran

Israel-US dialogue is necessary about Iran’s nuclear program, since a good agreement with Iran is a clear Israeli interest. But Israel must be prepared with a military option against Iran, as a last resort.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 17.03.2021
Iran

Turkish-Iranian Rift: An Opportunity for Israel

Israel should exploit the expanding rift between Ankara and Tehran to normalize its relations with Turkey. This also could bring Turkey into the circle of countries supporting the Abraham Accords.

Dr. Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak
Policy Papers 02.03.2021
Iran Turkey

Iran’s Winged Horse Rocket: Another Step Towards Global Reach

The launch of Iran's first solid propellant space rocket is highly significant.

Dr. Uzi Rubin
Policy Papers 02.03.2021
Iran

Iran Must Not Be Allowed to Win the Nasty War in Yemen

Many have raised understandable moral qualms (and practical questions) about conduct of war in Yemen. Indeed, the coalition fighting the Houthi uprising should be more attentive to the loss of innocent lives. But allowing Iran’s proxies to win the war in Yemen would have dangerous political and far-reaching strategic consequences for Israel, the region, and US interests.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 09.02.2021
Iran Yemen

Iran Raises the Stakes for Biden

Giving Iran unearned incentives in advance of negotiations only will bring about more Iranian provocation.

Mr. Alexander Grinberg
Policy Papers 26.01.2021
Iran US Middle East Policy

Israel’s Role in Helping the Biden Administration Set Policy Towards Iran

Israel should seek to persuade the Biden transition team not to offer Iran any premature concessions; it should outline what would constitute an acceptable, "stronger and longer" deal; find other international actors to support the policy suggested by Israel (possibly France and even Russia); and prepare a viable military option, both to strengthen America’s negotiating hand and as an option in the case of failure to reverse Iran's present course.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror , Professor Efraim Inbar , Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 24.11.2020
Iran US Israel Relations

Stabilizing forces growing stronger

The peace deals between Israel, the UAE and Bahrain mark the completion of an existing process by which the region's stabilizing forces are banding together against the Iranian threat.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 15.09.2020
Bahrain Iran
china iran handshake

The China-Iran Agreement is not a Strategic Shift

The long-term agreement between the two countries has not been finalized, and its scope and security implications seem to be limited. It is unlikely to force Israel into a complete reconsideration of its economic ties to China.

Mr. Tuvia Gering , Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 24.08.2020
China Iran
Assad and Putin middle east illustration

The Tensions between Assad and Iran Present an Opportunity in Syria

Israel and the US may have an opportunity to incentivize Assad and Putin to cooperate in constraining Iran's presence in Syria.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman , Dr. Aiman Mansour , Ms. Micky Aharonson
Policy Papers 26.07.2020
Iran Syria

Shortening mandatory service is a danger to Israel

Soldiers in uniform for less time means the army has less time to train them and can make use of their skills for a shorter period. In addition, there is no benefit in releasing potential young workers early at a time of rife unemployment.

Professor Efraim Inbar
Policy Papers 14.07.2020
IDF Iran
Khamenei and Jerusalem

Qods Day Advances Iran’s Regional Aspirations

“Qods Day” reflects Tehran's determination to annihilate Israel, a pillar of Iranian foreign policy. It also is an important part of “exporting” the Islamic Revolution.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 21.06.2020
Iran israeli-iranian relations Jerusalem

Reject Iran’s Request for an IMF Loan

Under the pretext of separation between regime and people, Iran seeks $5 billion in IMF emergency funding to fight COVID-19. This would significantly undermine the pressure on Iran being applied by US sanctions, and therefore the loan should be denied.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 17.06.2020
Coronavirus Iran Middle Eastern economy
syria, russia, iran flags and deraa

Rising Tensions and Security Chaos in Syria’s Deraa Province

A four-way contest under way between the Assad regime, Russian interests, Iranian interests, and unreconciled former rebels.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 14.06.2020
Iran Russia
Computer Security

Cyber-Warfare between Iran and Israel

The recent reciprocal cyber-attacks attributed to Israel and Iran were meant to set red lines on the non-kinetic dimension of war.

Mr. Omer Dostri
Policy Papers 03.06.2020
cyber Iran israeli-iranian relations
Iran flag on west bank background

Is Iran Gaining a Foothold in the West Bank?

A moribund terrorist group, the PFLP, is experiencing a revival and launching terror attacks, with help from Iran.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 19.05.2020
Iran West Bank
Iran Missile Space (Illustration)

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Goes to Space

Now that IRGC leadership in Iran's space effort is out in the open, it can be expected that its homemade, long-range rockets with a global reach will be revealed soon, as well.

Dr. Uzi Rubin
Policy Papers 29.04.2020
Iran
Novel Coronavirus Disease Named 2019-ncov With Iran Flag Closeup

Coronavirus and the Campaign against Iran

There may be a change in Iranian policy towards the US due to Iran’s economic and coronavirus difficulties.

Dr. Udi Levi
Policy Papers 06.04.2020
Coronavirus Iran
iran flag

Mullahs & COVID-19: Iran’s failing response reflects regime’s priorities

The Iranian regime’s response to the coronavirus crisis has been erratic and flailing.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 20.03.2020
Iran
netanyahu_addresses_congress

What we know about Iran five years after Netanyahu’s speech to Congress

We have five years of experience to compare to the competing assessments of 2015. Now we know that Netanyahu’s gloomy forecast has proven to be the more prescient.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 11.03.2020
Iran
Iranian Currency Closeup

How Iran funds Palestinian Islamic Jihad

PIJ is an important part of the Iranian strategy for fighting Israel. The regime in Tehran makes use of charities and other civilian organizations, such as money changers, to transfer funds to its allies in Gaza.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 02.03.2020
Iran
Armed Terrorist Group Terrorism People Crowd Vector Illustration

After Soleimani: Iran Resumes Proxy Warfare Against the US

Iran is reverting to attacks on the US through non-Iranian organizations under its control.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 21.02.2020
Iran

Iran, Hezbollah stir chaos in Syria’s southwest

Behind Enemy Lines: Iran, Hezbollah and ongoing, armed resistance to Syria’s regime merge to create constant chaos.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 21.02.2020
Iran Syria
natanz_nuclear

After Soleimani: Maintain the Pressure on Iran’s Nuclear Project

A firm stand at this critical juncture may prove to be of use as part of the effort to bring Iran back to the nuclear negotiating table on terms more acceptable to the US and to Trump's regional allies, including Israel.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 10.01.2020
Iran
_rocket_hits_fuel_bladder_al_asad_feb_20_2005

A large amount of noise and smoke

Iran’s attacks against the US in Iraq accomplished what was intended

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 10.01.2020
Iran
funeral_of_qasem_soleimani_tehran_2_mehr_016

More pressure on Iran still needed

Trump has made it clear that attacks on American personnel are going to elicit a military reaction.

Professor Efraim Inbar
Policy Papers 10.01.2020
Iran
Iran US middle east clash as a USA or United States crisis in the Persian gulf concept as an American and Iranian security problem due to economic sanctions and nuclear deal dispute in a 3D illustration style.

American Sanctions and Military Action against Iran

A critical point has been reached where sanctions and military conflict connect. Tehran needs and seeks a limited military confrontation with the West in order to shore-up its legitimacy at home.

Dr. Udi Levi
Policy Papers 02.12.2019
Iran US - Iran Relations
2019_iranian_protests_1

Protests in Iran and Trump’s Maximum Pressure Campaign

America must provide Iranian demonstrators with access to the Internet to bolster the protests.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 25.11.2019
Iran US - Iran Relations
Fuel pump nozzle in hand with flag on background - Syria

Making the Best of US Withdrawal from Syria

Given Iran’s presence in Syria, Israel must employ focused, operative rhetoric and policy versus the strategic threats it faces.

Dr. Aiman Mansour
Policy Papers 24.11.2019
Iran Syria
Iran hand fist propaganda poster fight and protest independence struggle rebellion show symbolic strength vector

Revolt Against Iran’s ‘System’ in Iraq and Lebanon

Will the people succeed in undermining the Iranian plan to spread power across the region?

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 05.11.2019
Iran
Iran oil industry concept, industrial illustration. Fluttering Iran flag and oil wells on the blue and yellow sunset sky background - 3D illustration

Escalation with Iran and its satellites is not an empty threat

If it weren't for the Iranian regime's distress, it might decide to tread water until US President Trump was out of office. But its resources are limited, and the possibility that the ayatollahs might attack Israel out of desperation is very real.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 04.11.2019
Iran
hezbollah

Iran creating more Hezbollahs across the Middle East

Escalating tensions with Iran should be a warning that Tehran’s strategy of training and arming proxy terror groups throughout the Middle East is not being countered aggressively enough.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 07.10.2019
Hezbollah Iran
ali_khamenei_receives_xi_jinping_in_his_house_3

Can a Chinese-Iranian Deal be Averted?

Chinese investment in Iran would help Tehran withstand US economic pressures, and exacerbate the Western crisis with Iran

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 07.10.2019
China Iran
Two hands stretch towards each other against the background. Hands people against the backdrop flags USA and Iran

How Israel Will Prevent Trump Appeasing Iran

Deadlock between Washington and Tehran won’t easily turn into détente even if Trump and Rohani do find a way to meet in New York. However, even a tentative rapprochement between the US and Iran would severely strain Israel’s close ties with the White House.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 19.09.2019
Iran US - Iran Relations
Israel Iran financial, diplomatic crisis concept. vector illustration.

The Iran-Israel War Is Here

More than a decade of civil strife has opened up the region for the escalating state-to-state conflict.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 30.08.2019
Iran

Beware Precipitous Talks with Iran

Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign must not be curtailed before Iran’s leaders truly have no choice but to capitulate to Western demands.

Mr. David M. Weinberg
Policy Papers 07.08.2019
Iran US - Iran Relations
ministry_of_foreign_affairs_building_in_tehran

Expose the Misdeeds of Iran’s Foreign Ministry

It is complicit in Hizballah’s terrorism and subversion, in Europe and the US.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 26.07.2019
Iran
נשיא איראן ובשאר אסאד

Iran’s Struggle to Entrench Itself in Syria

Iran is continually expanding its military, economic and political presence in Syria. Bashar al-Assad’s February 25 visit to Iran was an important marker in these efforts. Assad met with Iranian Leader Ali Khamenei and President Hassan Rouhani, who labeled him the “hero of the Arab world.” The presence of Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani and

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 27.05.2019
Iran Syria
A row of intercontinental ballistic missiles launching in a desert on a blue sky backgrund - 3D render

Iranian Missiles in the Iraqi Desert

In the remote deserts of western Iraq, Iran’s servants are busily at work preparing a new front against Israel.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 20.05.2019
Iran

Iran’s grip on Gaza is Israel’s nightmare

The notion that Hamas could be incentivised by the injection of funds from Qatar has proven erroneous or deeply problematic.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 13.05.2019
Gaza Hamas Iran

Will Iran Retaliate against the US for Designating the IRGC as a Terrorist Organization?

Iran is not likely to target American troops, since Teheran’s strategy is to wait-out the Trump administration.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 01.05.2019
Iran

Iran Strengthens its Land Route to Damascus

The Iranian “corridor” is a central project for the mullahs in Iraq and Syria, involving a highway which would connect Tehran with Damascus.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 16.04.2019
Iran
A flash of lightning seems to split an European flag into two parts.

European Appeasement of Iran Endangers National Security in Europe

The EU’s insistence on preserving the nuclear agreement with Iran and its persistent efforts to establish a mechanism for evading American trade sanctions are encouraging Iran to escalate its subversion throughout Europe.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 24.03.2019
EU Iran
vladimir_putin_and_ali_khamenei_2018

Iranian-Russian Cooperation in Yemen

The Houthi rebellion in Yemen, with its horrendous consequences for the country's civilian population, is being instigated primarily by Iranian assistance and direction for the rebels, together with Russian growing involvement in the conflict. An end to the fighting therefore depends to a large extent on the willingness of external countries to continue their fomenting of the conflict.

Ms. Micky Aharonson , Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 01.03.2019
Iran Russia

Zarif defeated at home

The attempted resignation of Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif didn't come as a complete surprise. It reflects the utter supremacy of the Revolutionary Guard in the Iranian political sphere.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 28.02.2019
Iran

Iranian Economic Failure Spoils 40th Anniversary Celebrations

The Iranian media claimed that millions filled the streets on the 40th anniversary of the Iranian revolution. The opposition, however says that fewer people participated. Iran's nuclear program will not protect the regime against the people's antipathy.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 13.02.2019
Iran
Syria flag

Iran’s Strategy for Control of Syria

One way Iran’s efforts are taking place are below the official Syrian state structures – in the arming and sponsoring of Iran-controlled paramilitary formations on Syria soil.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 04.02.2019
Iran Syria

Iran’s Land Route: A Strategic Threat

Iran is taking advantage of the crises created by ISIS and the Arab Spring to advance its land route project from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean Sea. The American withdrawal from Syria will remove one of the obstacles that stand in Iran’s path, yet Israel has demonstrated its determination to prevent the establishment of this route.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 02.01.2019
Iran

A new order emerges in southern Syria as Assad regains control

Syrian regime closes accounts with West and Israel-linked rebels, as Iran builds and expands its presence in the area.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 05.12.2018
Iran Syria
arak_heavy_water_reactor1

Nowhere, No-Time Supervision of Iran

Israel must continue to take the offensive against Iran’s nuclear program, without reliance on international inspectors.

Mr. David M. Weinberg
Policy Papers 05.10.2018
Iran

Israel’s War With Iran is Inevitable

In the absence of a clear American or Turkish determination to confront Iranian encroachment, only Israel has the power to stop it.

Professor Efraim Inbar
Policy Papers 05.10.2018
Iran

Iran’s Lies – A Tool for Concealing its Policy Contradictions in Syria

Iran is hiding its efforts to establish a presence in Syria, for both internal and external reasons. This policy involves numerous internal contradictions and to avoid admitting to them, the IRGC and Hezbollah are conducting a propaganda campaign.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 03.10.2018
Iran Syria

After Ahvaz: Iran’s Regime Faces the Consequences of its Subversive Campaigns

While Israel should steer away from overt identification with internal challengers in Iran, this is the time to urge the US. and other like-inded nations to ratchet up the pressure on the regime, explaining to the Iranian people the growing cost of their leaders' ambitions.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 03.10.2018
Iran

Israel’s Secret War Against Iran Is Widening

Israel has fully joined the battle in Syria—but it's not clear it can achieve any of its goals there.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 09.09.2018
Iran Syria

Is Khamenei Ruling out Dialogue with Trump?

On restoring relations between Tehran and Washington. If the protests in Iran expand, Trump will be able to exert greater pressure on Tehran.

Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Policy Papers 06.09.2018
Iran
morning_moroccan_desert_dune

Iran’s Involvement in the Western Sahara

Iran's goal in its activity in the Western Sahara is to subvert Morocco, a moderate Sunni state, as part of the Iranian regime's policy of spreading the Shi'ite revolution.

Mr. Omer Dostri
Policy Papers 04.09.2018
Iran Morocco
תחנת הכח אורות רבין בחדרה

The target: infrastructure

If recruiting a disgraced former official with no access to updated information is the best Iran's spymasters could do, Israel's intelligence superiority is in no danger.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 22.06.2018
Iran

Iran’s response: The ‘strategy of tension’

Iran enjoyed and benefited from the moment when the Arab world was at its most fragmented, and the West at its most rudderless.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 07.06.2018
Iran
Silhouette of an army soldier preparing his tank and weapons at sunset

Under fire but unfazed, Israel plays the waiting game with Iran

Does Israel require that all presence of the Iranians be removed from Syria, down to the last proxy fighter? If so, then conflict between Tehran and Jerusalem is a near inevitability, since there is no chance of Iran acquiescing to this except by coercion. On the other hand, if the Israeli intention is to prevent the Iranians from transferring certain weapons systems into Syria — advanced anti-aircraft systems, ballistic missiles, drones — then conflagration may not be so imminent.

Dr. Jonathan Spyer
Policy Papers 13.05.2018
Iran
missiles

Don’t ease-up on Iran

Israel's intelligence branches need to understand what was destroyed and then identify where and how Iran intends to push its military build-up forward – and neutralize that as well.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 12.05.2018
Iran
חיל האויר הישראלי

Tehran is paying a heavy price

The Iranian provocation on the Golan Heights failed, and the Iranians would do well to cut their losses now and end their confrontation with Israel.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 11.05.2018
Iran
TEL AVIV, ISRAEL, 30 April 2018 - 3D Rendering for Israel revealing 100 000 Iranian files on secret nuclear program.

The depth of Iran’s deception

Many criticized Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's unveiling of a secret Iranian nuclear archive as "nothing new" and "a performance." But there was plenty new in his presentation, and it will have far-reaching implications.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 08.05.2018
Iran
מתקן אטום באראק

Persuading Europe to pressure Iran

Israel's revelation of Iran's nuclear deception aims to show the world that the 2015 deal with Iran must indeed be renegotiated in the interests of global peace.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 02.05.2018
Iran
נתניהו ומסמכי הגרעין האיראניים

Capture of the Iranian nuclear documents: A fantastic intelligence feat

Iran should understand that Israel has the ability to reach the most sensitive places in Tehran.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 01.05.2018
Iran

Macron’s Message: Towards a New Deal with Iran?

The French president's visit to served to demonstrate Macron's importance as a dynamic and proactive European player, and as a partner in the effort to curb Iran's strategic ambitions.

Colonel (res.) Dr. Eran Lerman
Policy Papers 01.05.2018
Iran
benjamin_netanyahu_drone_2018

Israel won’t tolerate Iranian presence in Syria

Russia may demand due consideration, but Israel has proved time and again that it will not allow Iran to tighten its grip on Syria, even if doing so stokes regional tensions.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 11.04.2018
Iran Syria
Flag of Iran,realistic puzzle effect.

The missing piece of the puzzle

Given the bad nuclear deal signed with Iran, Israel must be diligent about risk management; no matter how relentless intelligence gathering efforts are, not all threats can be countered. Israel will not allow enemy states to go nuclear.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 28.03.2018
Iran
אורי לוברני

Hoping for regime change in Iran

Might more be done to advance an Iranian counter-revolution? Uri Lubrani certainly thought so, and he was not naive.

Mr. David M. Weinberg
Policy Papers 14.03.2018
Gaza Iran

Waking up to the Iranian threat

With the weakening of ISIS, the growing strength of Russia in Syria, and the continuing retraction of American involvement in the region – Iran apparently feels emboldened enough to escalate its confrontation with Israel.

Mr. David M. Weinberg
Policy Papers 23.02.2018
Iran
Iran Talks. vienna

‘Fix it or Nix it’ is the Wrong Approach

What needs “nixing” is not the JCPOA – a piece of paper – but the Iranian nuclear infrastructure.

Professor Efraim Inbar
Policy Papers 10.02.2018
Iran
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and first deputy Ishaq Jahangiri election rally in Tehran's Azadi Stadium, May 13, 2017.

New storms on the horizon

The recent protests in Iran are very important because they point to the Iranian leadership's economic failures, and the consequent anger harbored by a considerable number of Iranian citizens over their country's investments in far-off countries such as Lebanon and Syria. These investments, they feel, are at their expense.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 15.01.2018
Iran

In Middle East, Pence must address realities of Iranian encroachment

If the United States wants to disengage from the Middle East it should do so with a bang. The address for such a forceful demonstration is clear: the Iranian nuclear program.

Professor Efraim Inbar
Policy Papers 29.12.2017
Iran US Israel Relations

Confronting the con artists of Iran

No duplicitous decrees by supreme or smiling ayatollahs should deflect our attention from Tehran’s dangerous moves.

Mr. David M. Weinberg
Policy Papers 27.11.2017
Iran
middle east map

Iran in charge

A few seemingly unrelated incidents that took place across the Middle East this week all seem to point out that much of the regional unrest can be traced back to Iran, which is backing Shiite forces from Pakistan to Syria. That is unlikely to change.

Major General (res.) Yaakov Amidror
Policy Papers 15.11.2017
Iran

Use of Force: The Only Way to Stop Iran

Only the use of force can stop Iran from fulfilling its ambitions. Israel is on its own in this regard.

Professor Efraim Inbar
Policy Papers 05.10.2017
Iran

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