מכון מחקר מכוון מדיניות בנושאי חוץ וביטחון למען ישראל בטוחה

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לתמיכה במכון

אלוף משנה (בדימוס) ד"ר ערן לרמן

סגן נשיא מכון ירושלים לאסטרטגיה ולביטחון.

ד"ר לרמן הוא שימש כסגן למדיניות חוץ ועניינים בינלאומיים במועצה לביטחון לאומי. הוא מילא תפקידים בכירים בצה"ל במשך למעלה מעשרים שנה. הוא שימש במשך שמונה שנים כמנהל המשרד לישראל והמזרח תיכון של הוועד היהודי האמריקני. הוא מלמד בתוכנית ללימודי המזה"ת במכללת שלם בירושלים, ובתוכניות לתואר שני באוניברסיטת תל אביב ובמכללה לביטחון לאומי. הוא מומחה ליחסי החוץ של ישראל ולמזרח התיכון. צבר, דור שלישי בארץ, ד"ר לרמן הוא בעל תואר דוקטור מאת London School of Economics, ובהמשך הקריירה קיבל תואר שני במנהל ציבורי (MPA) מאוניברסיטת הרווארד.

Palestinian violence

As tensions escalate, Israel is right to insist on reviving the regional framework

03/07/2023 אין תגובות

Under the impact of terrorist attacks on Israelis and lawless vigilante raids on Arab villages, it is difficult to envision a return to conflict management of the Palestinian issue. Moreover, reactions in the West seem to feed Palestinian expectations of a backlash against Israel hence a reluctance to return to the Aqaba process. However, as the Palestinian security forces know all too well, there are no good alternatives to resuming dialogue within the regional framework. Israel is right to insist on a rapid return to the table with US, Jordanian and Egyptian involvement. The meeting in Sharm el-Sheikh should focus on common security challenges while setting aside the broader issues of the future. It can also allay growing concerns in Washington about Israel’s direction. At the right time, Israel can and should use the process to air lingering concerns about the virulent public domain in Jordan (and Egypt) and the need for the PA to act more resolutely against terrorist groups.

קרא עוד »
Missiles from Gaza towards Israeli jets

After Shield and Arrow, and facing Iran: Can Israel return to conflict management with the Palestinians?

22/05/2023 אין תגובות

With Operation Shield and Arrow in Gaza over, Israel must again focus on the challenge of Iran as a top priority. Given the urgency, now conveyed even by the US administration, the government must accelerate efforts to derail Tehran’s nuclear project. It is not the time to seek a defeat of Hamas or the collapse of the Palestinian Authority, but rather a continuation of conflict management. Israel should restore (albeit not fully trust) security cooperation with Ramallah, in the context of the process launched in Aqaba in late February; and in Gaza, to drive further the decoupling of Palestinian Islamic Jihad, an Iranian proxy, from the Hamas de facto government.

קרא עוד »
Manufacture Of Umbrellas And Chairs In Egypt

The Egyptian Financial Crisis: Implications for the region, and for Israel too

02/03/2023 אין תגובות

Egypt continues to play an active role in regional affairs, including the Aqaba emergency meeting on the Palestinian situation (February 26) and the ongoing effort to prevent escalation in Gaza. At the same time, Cairo is in the middle of a significant financial crisis. The effects of the war in Ukraine – specifically, grain shortages – brought the Egyptian pound to more than 30 to the dollar, up from 20 in November and 15 in early 2022, facilitated by deliberate government action in response to demands by the IMF. Inflation still soars, and so does youth unemployment. All this could destabilize a nation of 105 million on our border, with dire consequences.

קרא עוד »
Saudi Arabia and Israel flags Illustration

Progress toward a breakthrough in Saudi-Israeli relations: ‘Haste is from the Devil’

29/01/2023 אין תגובות

The positive and businesslike approach that marked the meeting of the Negev Forum Steering Committee and Working Groups in Abu Dhabi (January 9-10, 2023) proves that the drive to entrench and deepen the Abraham Accords is still ongoing despite the change of government in Israel. Hopes for a breakthrough in Saudi-Israeli relations are also still being nurtured, reflected in practical steps already taken. Moreover, the issue was raised with Jake Sullivan during his visit to Israel. Still, as the Arab saying goes, al-’ajalah min al-shaytan – haste is from the devil – and premature pronouncements have done more harm than good. The change will not come overnight: the Palestinian issue is still a stumbling block, and political dynamics in the Kingdom are complex, at least as long as King Salman still reins in some of his son’s ambitions.

קרא עוד »

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