מכון מחקר מכוון מדיניות בנושאי חוץ וביטחון למען ישראל בטוחה

גבי סיבוני

אל"מ (מיל') פרופ' גבי סיבוני

מנכ״ל מכון ירושלים לאסטרטגיה ולביטחון. מומחה צבא וביטחון, סייבר וטכנולוגיה צבאית.

פרופ' סיבוני היה ראש תכנית צבא ואסטרטגיה ותכנית ביטחון סייבר במכון למחקרי ביטחון לאומי בין השנים 2006-2020. במסגרת זו הוא ייסד שני כתבי עת אקדמיים בתחומים המחקר האמורים. בין עיסוקיו הוא משמש כיועץ לצה"ל ולגופי ביטחון אחרים כמו גם לתעשייה הביטחונית. סיבוני הוא בעל תואר ראשון ושני בהנדסה מאוניברסיטת תל אביב ותואר שלישי במערכות מידע גיאוגרפיות מאוניברסיטת בן גוריון שבנגב.

Air Force

Absolute Victory: 1,000 Days of the War of Redemption

“Absolute victory” as a concept is military defeat of Israel’s enemies followed by a broader strategic victory that improves its security and diplomatic standing for years to come. After more than 1,000 days of war, Israel is far stronger than it was on October 7, 2023. It holds the upper hand in every theater. Iran’s “ring of fire,” built to encircle Israel and erase it from the map, has largely been dismantled. These are not marginal gains, but historic achievements that are reshaping the Middle East

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defense illustration

The Battle for Israel

Israel’s experience points to a clear strategic lesson: the country pays dearly when it neglects defense of its internal arena. When it built a strong territorial defense, communities themselves became defensive zones that could hold out and allow the IDF to pursue offensive missions. The response to today’s threats should integrate armed community response units with territorial defense forces as a first layer of defense, backed by a National Guard and a sustained crackdown on serious crime in the Arab sector

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IDF Illustration

Discipline Is Neither Divisible nor Optional

The War of Redemption has shown the cost of indiscipline in modern combat. In an era of drones, dense urban warfare, and precision threats, discipline is not parade-ground formalism but a condition for battlefield survival and victory

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Turkey president Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Turkey: From Partnership to Imperialist Threat

Turkey’s imperial ambitions could turn it into a new Iran: a power capable of placing Israel in a commercial and military stranglehold. Israel must address the Turkish threat not as a small state, but as a regional power prepared to exercise force, judgment, and long-term strategic vision. Turkey’s neo-Ottomanism is a challenge, but if handled correctly, it could also become a catalyst for strengthening Israel’s power in the twenty-first century

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תקיפה באזור נבטיה, דרום לבנון, אפריל 2026

Why Israel Needs the Litani Line

The current direct anti-tank fire line leaves Israel exposed to short-range fire and drones from southern Lebanon. The Litani line offers a stronger alternative: a natural barrier, a shorter line of contact, greater depth, and improved protection for northern communities, along with political leverage in future negotiations with Lebanon

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Israeli tanks and armored personnel carriers on the border fence with the Gaza Strip as they prepare to move on Monday, October 20, 2025 as they deploy to a gate and then into the eastern side of the Gaza Strip. ISR20251020011 JimxHollander

Where Is Gaza Headed?

Hamas is under pressure and its regional support has weakened, but it is unlikely to disarm willingly. Political timetables in Israel and the United States require prompt action through a systematic campaign that steadily reduces Hamas’s area of control until it submits. If Israel acts with determination, it can complete the war’s objectives and ensure that Gaza is no longer a threat

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Europe Illustration

The Decline of Europe

Europe’s post–Cold War model is under strain as “addiction to peace,” demographic decline, economic stagnation, and strategic dependence on the US collide. The continent now stands at a historic crossroads: undertake painful reforms or continue its descent into a “grand museum”—rich in history but poor in power and increasingly irrelevant

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The Waning of the Iranian Crescent

The Iran war has demonstrated that power is not measured solely by missile inventories, but by the ability to integrate intelligence, operational effectiveness, technological superiority, and economic pressure into a unified strategy

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הצטרפו למעל 8,000 מנויים שמקבלים ישירות למייל את מיטב המאמרים לפני כולם